I'm having a hard time explaining this (hence the weird and long title), also I'm not a mathematician, I have this data lying around in a database and was wondering how I could visualise it (
and predict the future)
Say I gave you the following data for one user, it can show anything, for example say it shows whether someone ran on a certain day (or completed any other task):
Date Done? 19/05/2011 yes 18/05/2011 no 17/05/2011 no 16/05/2011 no 15/05/2011 no 14/05/2011 yes 13/05/2011 yes 12/05/2011 yes 11/05/2011 yes 10/05/2011 no 9/05/2011 yes 8/05/2011 no 7/05/2011 no 6/05/2011 yes 5/05/2011 no 4/05/2011 yes
I have a couple of questions:
What data could you derive from this? How can this be represented (other than pie charts, bar charts and totals).
Is there anyway to predict what they would do tomorrow?
I used Lower bound of Wilson score confidence interval for a Bernoulli parameter to figure out a score... what does this mean, is this useful in anyway?