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I have a question regarding variance, paired testing and minimum detectable difference (MDD).

Paired samples: $$ MDD (δ) = \sqrt{ \frac{σ^2}{n} (t_{(α/2,n-1)} + t_{(1-β, n-1)})} $$ I have a set of baseline samples (A) sampled at time 0. Because acquiring those samples is destructive, I’m unable to re-sample the same sample twice (similar to for example a soil sample). Therefore I cannot assume that a future re-sampling will have the same variance as the baseline sampling.

To measure how big this error is I have taken a second set of samples (B) in close proximity to the first samples (A), which gives me a number (n = 15) of A-B pairs. Sample B is also taken at time 0. If I run a paired t-test on these two sample populations I fail to reject the null hypothesis (H0: A≠B).

I should probably mention that both sample population A, B and the difference (A-B) are normally distributed.

Q1: If I want to estimate the MDD for the baseline mean, how do I integrate this sample error into the equation?

Q2: Can I simply take the variance from the baseline sample and add the variance of the differences (A-B)?

Q3: What if the samples don't reject the null hypothesis? Can I then assume that the samples are independent and use a pooled variance?

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Thanks, the formula is correct. I have re-labeled my question. Hope that helps. – Nordenskiold Aug 7 '12 at 19:40
What is this MDD? Are you talking about the smallest difference you have a high probability of detecting (i.e. rejecting the null hypothesis) or the smallest measurement that you can take that is >0? I doubt it is the latter because that would not relate to t distribution percentiles and sample standard errors. – Michael Chernick Aug 7 '12 at 20:21
@MichaelChernick I am talking about the smallest detectable difference in the mean of the base samples(A). Since i am unable to re-take this samples, I have to consider that the new samples i take will have a slightly different variance than the base samples. This leads me to think that I would need more samples to cover for this location error than if i could re-take the baseline samples. To investigate how big this location error is i have the B samples. – Nordenskiold Aug 7 '12 at 20:41

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