I am working on an alogorithm in R to automatize a monthly forecast calculation. I am using, among others, the ets() function from the forecast package to calculate forecast. It is working very well. ...
I have got a model for forecasting using holt-winters. However the parameters confuse me... The parameters show that there is no trend or seasonality even though there is definite trend and ...
Suppose I have a non-stationary limited data. Do I have to make it stationary before making forecasts? Can I use exponential smoothing, moving averages or even Holt Winters methods without making my ...