# Tagged Questions

Use this tag for sports and games like video games, poker, chess, go, and others similar. Do not use it for puzzles or enigma questions (see puzzle tag).

41 views

### Calculating the probability to die in a card game using Markov chains

I saw this interesting question on reddit and couldn't figure it out. Situation There is a special card in the game seen below: Once this card gets played, there are 6 options that can happen. ...
26 views

### Calculating probabilities for 3, 4, 5 card Straight/Flush/Straight Flush With 5 Card Hands

(Originally posted on poker.stackexchange.com) I am playing around with creating a new card game, similar to poker, and I am really struggling with figuring out the math behind calculating the ...
72 views

23 views

### Is there any heavy-duty analysis that has been done for optimizing Wheel of Fortune strategy?

I tried looking online for Wheel of Fortune strategy pages and got disappointing results. No mention of how your strategy should change if, say, there is one consonant left that you know will appear 3 ...
57 views

### Logistic regression is appropriate? Forecasting playerâ€™s serve point win % as a binary variable, w/ both numeric and categorical independent variables

I effectively want to model the probability of a player winning his service point (a point in which he is the server) based on the values of explanatory variables (namely court surface and opponent ...
127 views

### How to determine the strongest player in a team game

I have an idea for a "King of the Hill" contest in the Programming Puzzles and Code Golf Stack Exchange (http://codegolf.stackexchange.com/). The game I have in mind has four players divided into two ...
41 views

### Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo to compute the chances that a particular solitaire laid out with 52 cards would come out successfully

Based on some references I got from another question I learned that: While convalescing from an illness in 1946, Stan Ulam was playing solitaire. It, then, occurred to him to try to compute the ...
102 views

### Is chi-squared valid in this scenario?

I'd like to know whether I am misusing Pearson's chi-squared test. And if so, what should I be doing instead. I've a game-playing program, a "bot", for a zero-sum two-player game. To improve it, many ...
611 views

### Card Games and Neural Network Inputs

Looking for some pointers on how best to structure a neural net that deals with a card game. In Gin (rummy), you have a 10-card hand and you're trying to make melds and sets out of your cards. A meld ...
63 views

### What is the optimal betting strategy to minimize expected waiting time to reach a goal in this coin flipping betting game?

Suppose we play a game where we start with an initial amount of money $S$ and we wish to reach a larger target amount of money $T$. We a play a game in rounds as follows. There is a coin that has ...
127 views

### How do I model the probability of a win in a particular matchup, given historical win/loss data for the players

Let's say I have two numbers: the historical probability player A wins when playing a particular game (found by counting the number of times A has won, and dividing by the total number of times she ...
92 views

510 views

### Dungeons & Dragons Attack hit probability success percentage

In D&D players roll a 20 sided die trying to beat a set number to determine if an attack hits the target. Players often can add modifiers to this roll to help the odds in reaching this target ...
135 views

### Winning Poker criteria in PLO against a player who always raises

I was considering an interesting situation. Imagine you are playing poker against someone who is always raising in a tournament game (both start with a stack of chips, and win when they have the other ...
2k views

### Training a Tic Tac Toe brain - am I on the right track?

My only experience with Machine Learning is Andrew Ng's Coursera course, but I did work through that just fine and passed with 100%. I decided to practice by making up some problems and solving them. ...
167 views

### How can I statistically formulate football player attributes similar to Football Manager games or footballdatabase.eu?

I have collected player match history statistics like runs, shoots, passes and such. I would like to come up similar attribute values (psychical, mental, technical) to Football Manager game or ...
15 views

### Optimal strategy in growing jackpot scenario

There is a betting game, which seems to have "positive sum" situations, and I'd like to find out the optimal strategy. Multiple players place bets against the bank, for and bets that fit winning ...