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Apr 8, 2014 at 18:31 comment added BeyondTheZero Just as an addendum, obscureanalytics.com/2012/07/04/… has some background on setting a prior that could be used here based on observations about $p$ from the global population.
Apr 8, 2014 at 17:20 vote accept BeyondTheZero
Apr 8, 2014 at 1:45 comment added Cam.Davidson.Pilon All my priors are Uniform(0,1) (i.e. Beta(1,1) ). The 10000 is the number of draws from the posterior I perform, so I can do monte carlo estimates of the $P(p>p_i)$
Apr 7, 2014 at 18:50 comment added BeyondTheZero This looks to me like the same method that the Jeffreys interval uses, but with a prior that takes into account information about the probability of success for the global population. Thanks for that. Would you have any guidance as to how strongly to weight that prior? Here, I'm assuming, that's what the size=10000 parameter is doing.
Apr 6, 2014 at 23:28 history answered Cam.Davidson.Pilon CC BY-SA 3.0