I am wondering what "Minimizing the variance" in Statistics mean. As far as I understand that the variance is one of the parameters of a probability distribution, for example, a normal distribution and it is a measure of how spread the data points are from the mean. However, what is there between "Minimizing the variance" and the spread of data points?
1 Answer
A common task in statistics is to perform parameter estimation.
The parameter estimator is a function of the sample.
For example, consider the following two parameter estimator for the mean of normal distribution:
$\hat{\mu}_1=\frac{X_1+X_2}{2}$
$\hat{\mu}_2=X_1$
We have $Var(\hat{\mu}_1)=\frac{\sigma^2}{2}$ but $Var(\hat{\mu}_2)=\sigma^2$. Even though both are unbiased estimator of the mean, we would prefer the first estimators.
Given a few unbiased estimators, we would prefer the one with the smallest variance.