I am new to ARIMA, and I am trying to understand these lag plots. Are the following ACF and PACF suggesting that the lag of my time series is 4? If I am wrong, please help me understand these plots.
1 Answer
The threshold statistical significance of the autocorrelations has been noted in the comments and in another answer. What looks interesting is that the autocorrelations in Lag 4 and Lag 8 persist also in the Partial ACF.
Reality should come into play at this point: what are these data? By whatever knowledge you have on the process they measure, is it reasonable to expect that the current level should depend on Lags 4 and 8? If yes, the low estimated strength of autocorrelation is not necessarily an artifact, but an indication that said autocorrelation exists but it is low in strength.
Box.test
. You may be interested in this post. $\endgroup$