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New to the forum, and while not quite an idiot, I have no where near the knowledge and nous of all in here.

Consider the following scenario:

Soccer match

Home team - Team A Away team - Team B

League average:

Both teams to score - 40% Over 2.5 goals - 37%

Team Statistics:

Team A score at home - 88% Team B concedes away - 75%

Team A concedes at home - 75% Team B scores away - 50%

Probability:

Home team scoring - 82.7% Away team scoring - 60.65%


Taking the above into consideration - what is the correct way to go about calculating the statistical probability of both teams to score, and seperately, the game to finish with above 2.5 goals?

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