I am conducting a research on stock market. My Independent variables are Oil prices, Exchange rate, Interest rate, GDP & Inflation. And Dependent variables are Market return, and Sector wise returns of eleven sectors (industries) i.e. energy sector, oil and gas sector etc. My research time period is Jan 2005 to Dec 2014, with monthly observations. So which model should I apply to analyze the outcome? Is there any model which needed to run just one time to analyze all the data?

  • 1
    $\begingroup$ This is a near duplicate of this. $\endgroup$ Apr 15 '15 at 14:11

Start with vector autoregression (VAR). There are many variations of this thing, including VARMA, bayssian VAR etc.

Other similar approaches would be seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR), state-space models (kalman filter etc).

This is a very popular subject in finance literature, you should definitely read the papers to see what others are doing for there are numerous pitfalls and traps to fall. Don't do anything before getting familiar with the prior research in this area.

  • $\begingroup$ Your suggestion really eliminated my confusion. Thanks a lot for your help. $\endgroup$
    – Zubair
    Apr 15 '15 at 14:35

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service, privacy policy and cookie policy

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.