I am using Kalman Filter to estimate my state variables for a time series data. But all my parameters in KF are unknown.
S(t) = A*S(t-1) + B*X(t) + Q ----------Sate process Z(t) = H*S(t) + W*D(t) + R ----------Measurement process where, T: the total number of time slots in the time series data N: number of state variable M: number of measurement variable S: state variable, N*T dimension matrix Z: measurement variable, M*T dimension matrix Q: state process noise R: measurement process noise X: input in state process L dimension for a time slot D: input in measurement process, I dimension for a time slot A, B and H: parameter matrix
I want to solve
1. Best A, B, and H matrix for the KF. All parameters in the model are constrained. 2. Estimate all state variables after getting best A, B and H.
One example I want to solve is to estimate sales effect from different media channels and media synergy effects.
Z(t) is the sales number for each week S(t) is the sales effect from each media channle and media synergy effect; a sales effect from a media channel will be a state variable. X(t) is the media spending D(t) are seasonality, macro-economy factor and other extra independent varialbes to the model
I have checked some R packages. It seems that some of them have specific KF formulation. Which R packages can I use to solve the two problems listed above? Do I need to call optim() together with those R packages in order to solve problem 1?