My linear model is showing a clear trend in the errors (red line is what it should be). So my high samples are being underestimated and my low samples are being overestimated. There's a clear linear relationship in the errors.

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How can I properly create a function that calibrates each prediction so that it better matches the desired red line? Like so:

enter image description here

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    $\begingroup$ Include an additive constant term in the model rather than forcing the line to pass through zero. $\endgroup$ – whuber Oct 3 '16 at 22:39

@whuber is correct. I will just expand his answer and give you one demo for details. I will use mtcars data in R. We are using a car's weight to predict the mile per gallon variable.

What you are doing (note, the -1 in formula means do not add intercept to the model):


The way to fix (default settings in R is adding intercept):




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