I was given a problem asking that and I'm not quite sure how to answer it. If anyone can please explain me


2 Answers 2


Is it?

I have seen someone compute a confidence interval for the mean, and use it as if it was a prediction interval for a future observation. The trouble is, confidence intervals for the mean are much narrower than prediction intervals, and so this gave him an exaggerated and false sense of the accuracy of his forecasts. Instead of the interval containing 95% of the probability space for the future observation, it contained only about 20%.

(source http://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/intervals/)


I can be very, very confident what the average age of a United States citizen is if I've taken enough samples. But if you pick a person at random, I basically have no idea how old they are. One has almost nothing to do with the other.

  • 1
    $\begingroup$ Variance of sample mean vs variance of population. Is this what the op was asking? $\endgroup$
    – innisfree
    Nov 15, 2016 at 22:43
  • $\begingroup$ @innisfree That's pretty much what it comes down to. $\endgroup$
    – Dave
    Nov 27, 2019 at 14:24

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