Does anyone have any good resources for building explanatory regression models? Using the distinction between explanatory vs. predictive models described here (http://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~aldous/157/Papers/shmueli.pdf), I'm wanting to building an explanatory model because I'm interested in examining how several variables specially affect the outcome variable. I'm asking this question here because although I've found advice for building predictive models (e.g., by Gelman and Hill: http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/arm/), and I'm thinking this process might be different for explanatory models.
To put this question in more context, I have four variables of interest. Plus, I'm expecting these variables to have different effects for males and females, and I'd like to also test some additional covariates that may or may not be important. What I'd like is a guide on how to best build models with these variables.
For example, in an ANOVA approach, I think the convention is to just add the 5 variables (4 I care about and gender) all at once and test the highest order interaction possible (i.e., fit a complex model right off the bat). Does this make sense to apply to a multiple regression framework? If so, when would I add the covariates? These are the types of questions I'm trying to resolve.