I'm trying to forecast items, which are extremely seasonal. E.g. I'm trying to forecast seasonal Fruits (like fresh Oranges which available only in winter).
The issue with these data, for each year I've 3-6 months of data only.
My question is if someone can suggest me some methodology on how to forecast in these cases.
The example data:
Date Output
7/4/2014 2,649
7/5/2014 3,296
7/6/2014 4,542
7/7/2014 2,258
7/8/2014 5,061
7/9/2014 2,028
7/10/2014 2,710
7/11/2014 5,470
7/12/2014 9,231
7/13/2014 5,123
7/14/2014 8,830
7/15/2014 5,127
7/16/2014 3,350
7/17/2014 4,273
7/18/2014 8,673
7/19/2014 6,407
7/20/2014 9,818
7/21/2014 8,261
7/22/2014 3,514
7/23/2014 5,783
7/24/2014 5,902
7/25/2014 2,013
7/26/2014 6,244
7/27/2014 5,404
7/28/2014 3,842
7/29/2014 5,050
7/30/2014 3,945
7/31/2014 8,470
8/1/2014 2,879
8/2/2014 8,757
8/3/2014 6,766
8/4/2014 2,907
8/5/2014 4,272
8/6/2014 5,474
8/7/2014 3,858
8/8/2014 9,275
8/9/2014 4,144
8/10/2014 7,376
8/11/2014 8,891
8/12/2014 3,353
8/13/2014 9,902
8/14/2014 3,770
8/15/2014 8,534
8/16/2014 4,498
8/17/2014 8,106
8/18/2014 6,332
8/19/2014 7,585
8/20/2014 8,795
8/21/2014 9,567
8/22/2014 4,255
8/23/2014 7,543
8/24/2014 8,160
8/25/2014 8,795
8/26/2014 3,657
8/27/2014 2,152
8/28/2014 9,910
8/29/2014 8,808
8/30/2014 9,505
8/31/2014 5,824
9/1/2014 9,660
9/2/2014 7,262
9/3/2014 4,615
9/4/2014 3,790
9/5/2014 4,294
9/6/2014 2,856
9/7/2014 9,847
9/8/2014 9,848
9/9/2014 4,576
9/10/2014 7,950
9/11/2014 8,913
9/12/2014 6,200
9/13/2014 5,095
9/14/2014 5,521
9/15/2014 3,560
9/16/2014 4,824
9/17/2014 9,548
9/18/2014 6,101
9/19/2014 2,164
9/20/2014 5,612
9/21/2014 3,283
9/22/2014 4,030
9/23/2014 7,627
9/24/2014 2,276
9/25/2014 7,062
9/26/2014 7,064
9/27/2014 6,927
9/28/2014 3,738
9/29/2014 8,554
9/30/2014 8,409
10/1/2014 0
10/2/2014 0
10/3/2014 0
10/4/2014 0
10/5/2014 0
10/6/2014 0
10/7/2014 0
10/8/2014 0
10/9/2014 0
10/10/2014 0
10/11/2014 0
10/12/2014 0
10/13/2014 0
10/14/2014 0
10/15/2014 0
10/16/2014 0
10/17/2014 0
10/18/2014 0
10/19/2014 0
10/20/2014 0
10/21/2014 0
10/22/2014 0
10/23/2014 0
10/24/2014 0
10/25/2014 0
10/26/2014 0
10/27/2014 0
10/28/2014 0
10/29/2014 0
10/30/2014 0
10/31/2014 0
11/1/2014 0
11/2/2014 0
11/3/2014 0
11/4/2014 0
11/5/2014 0
11/6/2014 0
11/7/2014 0
11/8/2014 0
11/9/2014 0
11/10/2014 0
11/11/2014 0
11/12/2014 0
11/13/2014 0
11/14/2014 0
11/15/2014 0
11/16/2014 0
11/17/2014 0
11/18/2014 0
11/19/2014 0
11/20/2014 0
11/21/2014 0
11/22/2014 0
11/23/2014 0
11/24/2014 0
11/25/2014 0
11/26/2014 0
11/27/2014 0
11/28/2014 0
11/29/2014 0
11/30/2014 0
12/1/2014 0
12/2/2014 0
12/3/2014 0
12/4/2014 0
12/5/2014 0
12/6/2014 0
12/7/2014 0
12/8/2014 0
12/9/2014 0
12/10/2014 0
12/11/2014 0
12/12/2014 0
12/13/2014 0
12/14/2014 0
12/15/2014 0
12/16/2014 0
12/17/2014 0
12/18/2014 0
12/19/2014 0
12/20/2014 0
12/21/2014 0
12/22/2014 0
12/23/2014 0
12/24/2014 0
12/25/2014 0
12/26/2014 0
12/27/2014 0
12/28/2014 0
12/29/2014 0
12/30/2014 0
12/31/2014 0
1/1/2015 0
1/2/2015 0
1/3/2015 0
1/4/2015 0
1/5/2015 0
1/6/2015 0
1/7/2015 0
1/8/2015 0
1/9/2015 0
1/10/2015 0
1/11/2015 0
1/12/2015 0
1/13/2015 0
1/14/2015 0
1/15/2015 0
1/16/2015 0
1/17/2015 0
1/18/2015 0
1/19/2015 0
1/20/2015 0
1/21/2015 0
1/22/2015 0
1/23/2015 0
1/24/2015 0
1/25/2015 0
1/26/2015 0
1/27/2015 0
1/28/2015 0
1/29/2015 0
1/30/2015 0
1/31/2015 0
2/1/2015 0
2/2/2015 0
2/3/2015 0
2/4/2015 0
2/5/2015 0
2/6/2015 0
2/7/2015 0
2/8/2015 0
2/9/2015 0
2/10/2015 0
2/11/2015 0
2/12/2015 0
2/13/2015 0
2/14/2015 0
2/15/2015 0
2/16/2015 0
2/17/2015 0
2/18/2015 0
2/19/2015 0
2/20/2015 0
2/21/2015 0
2/22/2015 0
2/23/2015 0
2/24/2015 0
2/25/2015 0
2/26/2015 0
2/27/2015 0
2/28/2015 0
3/1/2015 7,076
3/2/2015 7,357
3/3/2015 5,683
3/4/2015 9,925
3/5/2015 9,639
3/6/2015 5,753
3/7/2015 8,091
3/8/2015 6,821
3/9/2015 9,371
3/10/2015 6,821
3/11/2015 8,125
3/12/2015 3,026
3/13/2015 3,520
3/14/2015 3,577
3/15/2015 6,931
3/16/2015 5,998
3/17/2015 7,957
3/18/2015 7,142
3/19/2015 7,736
3/20/2015 9,574
3/21/2015 9,878
3/22/2015 4,102
3/23/2015 9,339
3/24/2015 3,719
3/25/2015 3,635
3/26/2015 5,115
3/27/2015 7,315
3/28/2015 9,960
3/29/2015 3,584
3/30/2015 7,115
3/31/2015 6,516
4/1/2015 6,711
4/2/2015 9,265
4/3/2015 7,162
4/4/2015 6,411
4/5/2015 2,438
4/6/2015 4,602
4/7/2015 2,895
4/8/2015 4,687
4/9/2015 7,824
4/10/2015 2,425
4/11/2015 2,967
4/12/2015 6,913
4/13/2015 9,851
4/14/2015 2,741
4/15/2015 7,713
4/16/2015 9,714
4/17/2015 9,342
4/18/2015 4,029
4/19/2015 9,408
4/20/2015 7,665
4/21/2015 6,290
4/22/2015 8,380
4/23/2015 5,671
4/24/2015 3,818
4/25/2015 7,296
4/26/2015 2,163
4/27/2015 5,696
4/28/2015 9,080
4/29/2015 7,361
4/30/2015 7,883
5/1/2015 6,606
5/2/2015 4,913
5/3/2015 9,351
5/4/2015 4,605
5/5/2015 3,755
5/6/2015 5,112
5/7/2015 3,135
5/8/2015 4,900
5/9/2015 9,814
5/10/2015 7,849
5/11/2015 6,413
5/12/2015 2,217
5/13/2015 9,146
5/14/2015 2,081
5/15/2015 3,933
5/16/2015 2,647
5/17/2015 2,892
5/18/2015 8,625
5/19/2015 8,260
5/20/2015 7,280
5/21/2015 5,269
5/22/2015 8,328
5/23/2015 8,466
5/24/2015 6,096
5/25/2015 8,534
5/26/2015 2,617
5/27/2015 7,439
5/28/2015 8,054
5/29/2015 7,371
5/30/2015 5,665
5/31/2015 6,916
6/1/2015 3,472
6/2/2015 8,201
6/3/2015 5,218
6/4/2015 7,879
6/5/2015 4,362
6/6/2015 2,181
6/7/2015 4,144
6/8/2015 2,030
6/9/2015 4,645
6/10/2015 7,860
6/11/2015 2,363
6/12/2015 6,978
6/13/2015 5,129
6/14/2015 4,762
6/15/2015 9,084
6/16/2015 9,906
6/17/2015 7,857
6/18/2015 5,360
6/19/2015 4,083
6/20/2015 7,243
6/21/2015 3,790
6/22/2015 8,280
6/23/2015 7,146
6/24/2015 6,852
6/25/2015 3,686
6/26/2015 4,338
6/27/2015 3,408
6/28/2015 9,358
6/29/2015 7,280
6/30/2015 7,338
7/1/2015 2,207
7/2/2015 7,256
7/3/2015 7,877
7/4/2015 6,023
7/5/2015 3,274
7/6/2015 4,134
7/7/2015 6,304
7/8/2015 2,417
7/9/2015 7,883
7/10/2015 3,595
7/11/2015 4,798
7/12/2015 3,099
7/13/2015 9,023
7/14/2015 7,370
7/15/2015 4,490
7/16/2015 8,133
7/17/2015 2,368
7/18/2015 9,577
7/19/2015 8,609
7/20/2015 8,088
7/21/2015 4,232
7/22/2015 4,101
7/23/2015 9,036
7/24/2015 7,206
7/25/2015 5,515
7/26/2015 9,525
7/27/2015 4,653
7/28/2015 3,670
7/29/2015 8,992
7/30/2015 3,860
7/31/2015 5,457
8/1/2015 4,517
8/2/2015 8,389
8/3/2015 7,009
8/4/2015 9,636
8/5/2015 5,311
8/6/2015 4,823
8/7/2015 2,833
8/8/2015 9,521
8/9/2015 7,145
8/10/2015 9,106
8/11/2015 6,146
8/12/2015 6,148
8/13/2015 3,038
8/14/2015 6,047
8/15/2015 3,146
8/16/2015 9,175
8/17/2015 9,530
8/18/2015 4,180
8/19/2015 9,223
8/20/2015 8,647
8/21/2015 7,070
8/22/2015 3,545
8/23/2015 8,144
8/24/2015 7,817
8/25/2015 6,317
8/26/2015 5,719
8/27/2015 8,430
8/28/2015 9,033
8/29/2015 7,022
8/30/2015 4,775
8/31/2015 4,071
9/1/2015 8,555
9/2/2015 8,155
9/3/2015 6,939
9/4/2015 9,689
9/5/2015 2,867
9/6/2015 9,732
9/7/2015 4,409
9/8/2015 5,205
9/9/2015 2,335
9/10/2015 3,501
9/11/2015 6,268
9/12/2015 9,721
9/13/2015 9,213
9/14/2015 3,739
9/15/2015 5,681
9/16/2015 2,374
9/17/2015 6,281
9/18/2015 5,860
9/19/2015 5,312
9/20/2015 7,203
9/21/2015 8,493
9/22/2015 9,876
9/23/2015 7,963
9/24/2015 5,112
9/25/2015 2,525
9/26/2015 9,804
9/27/2015 8,181
9/28/2015 9,582
9/29/2015 9,697
9/30/2015 7,825
10/1/2015 0
10/2/2015 0
10/3/2015 0
10/4/2015 0
10/5/2015 0
10/6/2015 0
10/7/2015 0
10/8/2015 0
10/9/2015 0
10/10/2015 0
10/11/2015 0
10/12/2015 0
10/13/2015 0
10/14/2015 0
10/15/2015 0
10/16/2015 0
10/17/2015 0
10/18/2015 0
10/19/2015 0
10/20/2015 0
10/21/2015 0
10/22/2015 0
10/23/2015 0
10/24/2015 0
10/25/2015 0
10/26/2015 0
10/27/2015 0
10/28/2015 0
10/29/2015 0
10/30/2015 0
10/31/2015 0
11/1/2015 0
11/2/2015 0
11/3/2015 0
11/4/2015 0
11/5/2015 0
11/6/2015 0
11/7/2015 0
11/8/2015 0
11/9/2015 0
11/10/2015 0
11/11/2015 0
11/12/2015 0
11/13/2015 0
11/14/2015 0
11/15/2015 0
11/16/2015 0
11/17/2015 0
11/18/2015 0
11/19/2015 0
11/20/2015 0
11/21/2015 0
11/22/2015 0
11/23/2015 0
11/24/2015 0
11/25/2015 0
11/26/2015 0
11/27/2015 0
11/28/2015 0
11/29/2015 0
11/30/2015 0
12/1/2015 0
12/2/2015 0
12/3/2015 0
12/4/2015 0
12/5/2015 0
12/6/2015 0
12/7/2015 0
12/8/2015 0
12/9/2015 0
12/10/2015 0
12/11/2015 0
12/12/2015 0
12/13/2015 0
12/14/2015 0
12/15/2015 0
12/16/2015 0
12/17/2015 0
12/18/2015 0
12/19/2015 0
12/20/2015 0
12/21/2015 0
12/22/2015 0
12/23/2015 0
12/24/2015 0
12/25/2015 0
12/26/2015 0
12/27/2015 0
12/28/2015 0
12/29/2015 0
12/30/2015 0
12/31/2015 0
1/1/2016 0
1/2/2016 0
1/3/2016 0
1/4/2016 0
1/5/2016 0
1/6/2016 0
1/7/2016 0
1/8/2016 0
1/9/2016 0
1/10/2016 0
1/11/2016 0
1/12/2016 0
1/13/2016 0
1/14/2016 0
1/15/2016 0
1/16/2016 0
1/17/2016 0
1/18/2016 0
1/19/2016 0
1/20/2016 0
1/21/2016 0
1/22/2016 0
1/23/2016 0
1/24/2016 0
1/25/2016 0
1/26/2016 0
1/27/2016 0
1/28/2016 0
1/29/2016 0
1/30/2016 0
1/31/2016 0
2/1/2016 0
2/2/2016 0
2/3/2016 0
2/4/2016 0
2/5/2016 0
2/6/2016 0
2/7/2016 0
2/8/2016 0
2/9/2016 0
2/10/2016 0
2/11/2016 0
2/12/2016 0
2/13/2016 0
2/14/2016 0
2/15/2016 0
2/16/2016 0
2/17/2016 0
2/18/2016 0
2/19/2016 0
2/20/2016 0
2/21/2016 0
2/22/2016 0
2/23/2016 0
2/24/2016 0
2/25/2016 0
2/26/2016 0
2/27/2016 0
2/28/2016 0
2/29/2016 0
3/1/2016 5,930
3/2/2016 6,733
3/3/2016 8,316
3/4/2016 2,516
3/5/2016 4,602
3/6/2016 8,295
3/7/2016 7,614
3/8/2016 2,515
3/9/2016 2,616
3/10/2016 3,381
3/11/2016 2,795
3/12/2016 9,129
3/13/2016 4,035
3/14/2016 9,854
3/15/2016 6,788
3/16/2016 3,513
3/17/2016 5,064
3/18/2016 2,924
3/19/2016 9,227
3/20/2016 7,546
3/21/2016 9,271
3/22/2016 3,194
3/23/2016 7,150
3/24/2016 6,997
3/25/2016 9,319
3/26/2016 2,323
3/27/2016 2,154
3/28/2016 7,914
3/29/2016 9,176
3/30/2016 8,608
3/31/2016 3,414
4/1/2016 8,555
4/2/2016 3,103
4/3/2016 9,997
4/4/2016 2,177
4/5/2016 9,627
4/6/2016 2,485
4/7/2016 2,688
4/8/2016 3,983
4/9/2016 9,004
4/10/2016 4,097
4/11/2016 2,402
4/12/2016 7,424
4/13/2016 5,642
4/14/2016 4,294
4/15/2016 9,994
4/16/2016 2,703
4/17/2016 6,701
4/18/2016 3,710
4/19/2016 6,471
4/20/2016 2,084
4/21/2016 9,836
4/22/2016 2,575
4/23/2016 5,644
4/24/2016 8,902
4/25/2016 9,463
4/26/2016 9,580
4/27/2016 9,746
4/28/2016 6,423
4/29/2016 5,747
4/30/2016 6,746
5/1/2016 9,509
5/2/2016 9,031
5/3/2016 9,006
5/4/2016 7,539
5/5/2016 9,387
5/6/2016 10,000
5/7/2016 4,013
5/8/2016 6,383
5/9/2016 9,679
5/10/2016 7,579
5/11/2016 2,500
5/12/2016 4,373
5/13/2016 9,109
5/14/2016 6,948
5/15/2016 9,183
5/16/2016 2,294
5/17/2016 4,633
5/18/2016 8,480
5/19/2016 6,685
5/20/2016 7,181
5/21/2016 4,841
5/22/2016 7,685
5/23/2016 4,302
5/24/2016 5,853
5/25/2016 5,279
5/26/2016 4,716
5/27/2016 9,318
5/28/2016 6,669
5/29/2016 5,705
5/30/2016 8,721
5/31/2016 2,799
6/1/2016 8,317
6/2/2016 4,878
6/3/2016 8,146
6/4/2016 6,454
6/5/2016 2,736
6/6/2016 6,199
6/7/2016 4,809
6/8/2016 9,628
6/9/2016 9,359
6/10/2016 8,648
6/11/2016 9,478
6/12/2016 5,989
6/13/2016 4,277
6/14/2016 8,480
6/15/2016 7,705
6/16/2016 5,120
6/17/2016 7,461
6/18/2016 9,634
6/19/2016 5,379
6/20/2016 7,839
6/21/2016 5,897
6/22/2016 2,576
6/23/2016 3,643
6/24/2016 7,977
6/25/2016 3,255
6/26/2016 9,900
6/27/2016 4,179
6/28/2016 8,502
6/29/2016 8,439
6/30/2016 4,186
7/1/2016 4,036
7/2/2016 8,595
7/3/2016 7,318
7/4/2016 7,503