I have sampled a set of expert on their 90% CI for a set of questions. How can I combine their answers? How confident can I be in the result?
|---------------------------------------|
| Question 1 |
|---------------------------------------|
| | Lower bound | Upper bound |
| | (95% chance | (95% chance |
| | value is | value is |
| Expert | higher) | lower) |
|---------|--------------|--------------|
| A | 130 | 627 |
| B | 202 | 584 |
| C | 186 | 648 |
Ideally, I'd like to understand what my lower and upper bounds are likely to be and how confident I should be in these bounds.