0
$\begingroup$

I have the following time series and need to show that the ACF is zero except at lag one.

$$X_t=\frac{0.8\epsilon_{t-1}^2}{1+\epsilon_{t-1}^2}+ \epsilon_t, \text{ and that } \{ \epsilon_t\} \sim_{i.i.d} N(0,\sigma^2)$$ My guess is that I need to calculate the covariance for the lags and show they don't share the same components and such are not correlated since I have i.i.d. variables. However I'm not reaching the desired result. Any insights?

$\endgroup$

1 Answer 1

1
$\begingroup$

Yes. That is exactly the idea. Using the independence assumption it is easy to see that $Cov(X_t,X_{t-h})$ for $h>1$ is zero.

$$Cov(X_t,X_{t-1}) = Cov(0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-1}^2),0.8 \varepsilon_{t-2}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-2}^2)) + Cov(0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-1}^2),\varepsilon_{t-1}) + \\Cov(\varepsilon_t,0.8 \varepsilon_{t-2}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-2}^2)) + Cov(\varepsilon_t,\varepsilon_{t-1})$$

Then using that $\varepsilon_t$ is iid, we obtain

\begin{align} Cov(X_t,X_{t-1}) &= Cov(0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-1} ^2),\varepsilon_{t-1}) \\ &= E \bigg[\frac{0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^2}{(1+\varepsilon_{t-1}^2)}\varepsilon_{t-1} \bigg] + E[0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^2/(1+\varepsilon_{t-1}^2)]E[\varepsilon_{t-1} ] \\ &=E[0.8 \varepsilon_{t-1}^3/(1+\varepsilon_{t-1}^2) ] \end{align} Then you should only evaluate the expectation.

$\endgroup$

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.