I'm on the hunt for an example to illustrate the difference between frequentist and subjective Bayesian probability. In particular, I'd like a type of event for which frequentist probability doesn't make sense.
This is the example I have: What is the probability that it will rain on March 14th, 2018 in London UK?
As far as I know, there can be no long-run relative frequency for this event. One could, of course, approximate this by asking "The probability it will rain on any March 14th in London UK", but as far as I can tell that is different.
Does this example make sense? Is there a better one?