0
$\begingroup$

So, I've been looking at different ARIMA models, mainly ones with d=1, and I came across the ARI(1,1) model, which is an AR(1) model that has been differenced once.

I know that the AR(1) model is $Y_t = \phi_1 Y_{t-1} +e_t$ and so $Y_{t-1} = \phi_2 Y_{t-2} + e_{t-1}$. But when I do the first difference, I get:

$Y_t - Y_{t-1} = \phi_1 Y_{t-1} +e_t - (\phi_2 Y_{t-2} + e_{t-1}) \\ Y_t = \phi_1 Y_{t-1} - \phi_2 Y_{t-2} + Y_{t-1} + e_t - e_{t-1} $

however, the book I'm reading doesn't have that last $e_{t-1}$ term and they don't show all their steps, so I'm not sure where I went wrong, or if there's another way I should be thinking about this.

$\endgroup$
2
  • 2
    $\begingroup$ Look at your expression for the AR(1) model embedded in the text. Then substitute $X_t - X_{t-1}$ everywhere you see $Y_t$, and $X_{t-1}-X_{t-2}$ everywhere you see $Y_{t-1}$, etc. Is there an $e_{t-1}$ in what you get? $\endgroup$
    – jbowman
    Commented Feb 25, 2020 at 0:13
  • $\begingroup$ @jbowman oh I see now, thank you! $\endgroup$
    – clovis
    Commented Feb 25, 2020 at 1:41

0

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.