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I have been reading a lot on Stack Overflow for a while now, but this is my first post here. Thanks for all the help I've received! I am currently working on a project where we are trying to estimate the effects of a drug on overall and disease-specific mortality. This is a prospective observational study, where patients are enrolled when they have a blood test, which happens at different time points. Patients are then followed until death, emigration, or the end of the study. To figure out if the drug impacts mortality, we have set up a Cox regression model where drug exposure is allowed to accumulate over time with the cumtdc function specified here.

The problem is that the proportional hazards assumption is severely violated - with p-values approaching 0 for most of the covariates. I am a beginner to this type of analysis and what I have read and tried so far is:

  • Splitting continuous variables (such as age) into categories, which did not make a difference.
  • Could interaction variables be helpful here - if so, how do I best implement them?
  • Would this analysis be better suited to be performed with an accelerated failure time model?
  • Is it possible that the analysis could be valid despite the non-proportional hazards? I am asking this since, intuitively, there are many individuals in the study (> 300 000) and many events (> 30 000), so even minimal violations might be registered as significant.

I am attaching the Schoenfeld plots with the respective p-values for the covariables.

Schoenfeld plot

I would be most appreciative of any suggestions to this problem. There seem to be many different approaches out there, making it a bit tricky to navigate for a beginner. Thank you!

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