1
$\begingroup$

I'm trying to figure out how to incorporate this formula from this paper into the Weng-Lin update rule algorithms:

\begin{align} \mathcal{P}[i \text{ beats } j] &= \frac{\exp{\lambda_i}}{\exp{\lambda_i} + \exp{\lambda_j}} \\ \lambda_i &= \sum_k^N X_{i,k} \beta_k \\ y_i &\sim \mathrm{Bernoulli}(\mathcal{P}[i \text{ beats } j]) \end{align}

Priors:

$$\beta_k \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \sigma_\beta^2)$$

The chief assumption here being that score margins are player specific predictors. Then given that from equation (57) of Weng's paper:

$$ \lambda_i = \frac{\mu_i}{c_{iq}} $$

Since $\lambda_i$ has different values, how do I merge these two concepts? If it's impossible to add a score margin with this method, what other method can be used?

$\endgroup$

0

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.