Suppose we are want to consider the asset price $P_t$ (business daily) of some stock. The log return is defined as
$$X_t:=\log{\frac{P_t}{P_{t-1}}}$$
suppose we are considering the prices between some interval, eg. June 1986 and March 1990). Log returns can be modelled by $X_t=\sigma_t\epsilon_t$, with $E[\epsilon_t]=0,Var(\epsilon_t)=1$. We assume Markov-property, thus $\sigma^2_t=v(X_{t-1})$. The model can be fitted by nonparametric regression of the function $v$ in
$$Z_t:=X^2_t=v(X_{t-1})+\phi_t$$
where $\phi_t=\sigma^2_t(\epsilon^2_t-1)$ can be seen as error. We want to use ksmooth
, smooth.spline
and loess
. In my notes they say: "First we sort the values, in order not to get problems with ksmooth
, which orders the values internally and gives back results corresponding to the ordered values."
I do not understand why we have to do that. Basically we have a function $v$, with values on the $y$-axis and the $x$-axis is our time interval between June 1986 and March 1990. So why do we have to order the data?