Linked Questions

1 vote
1 answer
3k views

What is the Formula for Prediction Interval in Multivariate Case? [duplicate]

I am using linear model to do prediction, and I would like to calculate my prediction's prediction interval, which, when there is only one predictor, is However, my model has three predictors. What ...
user398843's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
439 views

Reproduce a confidence interval of linear regression in Excel [duplicate]

After a series of tests and exploratory analysis, I have design a linear model in R, the model is the following: ...
CreamStat's user avatar
  • 255
0 votes
0 answers
63 views

confidence intervals for predicted values in linear regression [duplicate]

I have made this linear regression model: mtcars_lm <- lm(mpg ~ drat + hp, mtcars) Using the effects package, I can predict values of ...
luciano's user avatar
  • 14.5k
1 vote
0 answers
35 views

Calculating error bars for Excel Linear Regression [duplicate]

I've ben sent a forecast of sales from a consultancy. It uses Excel's LINEST function, taking 4 factors that seem to have affected sales in the past, and used them to make a prediction. How do I go ...
Dazed and Confused's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
29 views

Confidence Intervals for Outputs of Regression? [duplicate]

Suppose I have some reasonably sized dataset and I do linear regression on it, so now I have a model, say $\hat{y}=Ax+b$, where $y$ is real (or perhaps a vector, but let's say real for now), $x$ (my ...
Richard Rast's user avatar
133 votes
6 answers
215k views

Difference between confidence intervals and prediction intervals

For a prediction interval in linear regression you still use $\hat{E}[Y|x] = \hat{\beta_0}+\hat{\beta}_{1}x$ to generate the interval. You also use this to generate a confidence interval of $E[Y|x_0]$....
question's user avatar
  • 1,525
24 votes
1 answer
10k views

Linear regression prediction interval

If the best linear approximation (using least squares) of my data points is the line $y=mx+b$, how can I calculate the approximation error? If I compute standard deviation of differences between ...
bmx's user avatar
  • 241
10 votes
2 answers
9k views

Gaussian process prediction interval

How can the prediction interval of a Gaussian process be evaluated? I don't know how to estimate this interval though I can find a 95 % confidence interval for the mean line.
Wis's user avatar
  • 2,204
6 votes
2 answers
23k views

Calculation of variance of prediction

Could anybody show me how @Rob Hyndman calculates the variance of $\hat{y}$ in the following link Obtaining a formula for prediction limits in a linear model : EDIT: Basically I don't understand how ...
HeyJane's user avatar
  • 355
10 votes
2 answers
2k views

Derivation of confidence and prediction intervals of predictions for probit and logit (and GLMs in general)

The derivation of the prediction interval for the linear model is quite simple: Obtaining a formula for prediction limits in a linear model . How to derive the confidence and prediction intervals for ...
user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
3k views

How to calculate the specific Standard Error relevant for a specific point estimate within a linear regression?

My objective is to actually get to the Standard Error for every point estimate of a linear regression. I originally thought that the Standard Error of a linear regression model was constant. And, ...
Sympa's user avatar
  • 7,812
5 votes
1 answer
8k views

Propagation of polynomial coefficient errors in fit

I fit a cubic function (in mathematica) $$ y(x) = a + b x + c x^2 + d x^3 $$ to my data and obtained a function. I have the error in each coefficient ($\sigma_a$, $\sigma_b$, $\sigma_c$, $\...
Illy's user avatar
  • 51
13 votes
2 answers
2k views

Can we make probabilistic statements with prediction intervals?

I've read through the many excellent discussions on the site regarding interpretation of confidence intervals and prediction intervals, but one concept is still a bit puzzling: Consider the OLS ...
kevinykuo's user avatar
  • 641
0 votes
2 answers
8k views

How to do prediction from a linear regression?

I am not very good in statistics (ok, I'm really bad), I guess this is a very simple question but I dont understand much of the literature. I have a dataset that is arranged in 2 columns (...
santiagozky's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
7k views

Using MSE to determine prediction intervals?

I have a model that I've used MSE as the accuracy metric. After reading this article on calculating prediction intervals using MSE I looked around for other resources. I then found this PDF from ...
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