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0 votes
1 answer
24 views

Interpret $R^2$ for a long-run equilibrium model (2 stage OLS)

I've built an error correction model using two stage OLS - first an OLS on the cointegrated I(1) variables in levels to get the cointegration coefficients, and then an ARDL in differences with the ...
Jared's user avatar
  • 3
1 vote
0 answers
34 views

ECM Specification of ARDL model

I have a question regarding the model reparametrization of an ARDL model. Consider the following ARDL$(p,q,q,\ldots,q)$ model: \begin{equation} y_{it} = \alpha_i + \sum_{j=1}^{p} \lambda_{ij} y_{i,t-j}...
Maximilian's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
4k views

Using a ECM/VECM or ARDL model? Why and How?

I have a couple of question regarding the use ECM/VECM and Johansen test for cointegration.  In my model (6 variables), I have only one variable that is Stationary in its level, the remaining five ...
Arash's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
1 answer
3k views

Autocorrelated residuals in ARDL and/or ECM

When there is an issue of autocorrelation in an ARDL or ECM model, are we allowed to use AR(1) to correct for the problem? What is the difference between ARDL model and ECM model?
Okoye Arinze Francis's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
122 views

Level variables along with differenced variables in ARDL / Error Correctional Model

I am running an ARDL model, I have both levels and difference variables. I know for sure that the difference variables should be included in the ECM but should I include the level variables as well?
Duke's user avatar
  • 53
4 votes
3 answers
11k views

ARDL/Error Correction Model: long vs. short run, restricted vs. unrestricted

I have a few questions about unrestricted error correction models. The UECM for a model where $Y$ is the dependent variable and $x$ is the sole independent variable is given by $$ \Delta Y_{t}=\...
SidtheKid's user avatar
  • 133