Questions tagged [chow-test]
The Chow test is a test for parameter stability between time periods or different groups.
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Structural breaks in Survival Analysis
I am currently conducting research using panel data to analyze survival patterns. This involves examining the time-to-event data of a diverse group of participants over multiple years, where the ...
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Is it valid to test the divergence of two timeseries using a Mann-Whitney-U test? If not, how can I show doing so will be problematic?
I have two time series that give me a monthly count. One is a reference series that is meant to be used as a control; the other has a 'treatment' or program applied to it mid-way through. Both are ...
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Period cutoff in Chow test
I am using the Chow test to analyze structural change in time series data potentially caused by a significant event. Since each data point represents a day, the data is broken into two chunks:
Chunk 1:...
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Alternative to Chow test where the errors are not normally distributed
I have timeseries data and want to identify if the change in coefficient at a particular point is significant.
One method to test for structural change is the Chow test which assumes i.i.d. errors ...
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Chow F statistics using strucchange for ARMA(1,1)
I am looking to generate a series of Chow F statistics for an inflation rate series. I am using the strucchange package. Specifically, the Fstats() function. I want to calculate the Chow F statistics ...
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Implementing the Chow test in R: interpretation problems
I was looking for something online, when I found this clear paragraph:
https://bookdown.org/ccolonescu/RPoE4/indvars.html#comparing-two-regressions-the-chow-test
It's short and very easy to read.
The ...
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Multiple structural breaks with Chow test by incorporating dummies?
I am trying to determine whether there are statistically significant structural breaks in a time series I am looking at. Graphically, I can see that there are two structural breaks, but I would need ...
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Difference between Chow break and forecast test
I understand that the Chow break test and the Chow forecast tests are different :
To my understanding , if we had a sample with k regressors and we wanted to see whether the marginal effect of one ...
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Statistical significance of an event in seasonal time series
Goal
I am analyzing multiple time series data. I want to show there is difference in trend of the data after an event happens, either right after or a bit later, and it is statistically significant. ...
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Why does the Chow test use a single tailed test?
Suppose we want to test for differential intercepts using the Chow test. Suppose the variables we have are Y, the dependent variable and X, the independent variable. The sample is divided into two ...
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Chow Test: Do you need stationarity to model a time-series for identifying structural breaks?
What am I trying to achieve?
I am trying to test whether there is a structural break in a time-series of proportions at a known break date (21 Dec 2019) . Below is a plot of the original time-series (...
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Detecting for structural changes in a time series near the end
My interest is to check for structural changes in a time series. I know the time point which I wish to check for structural break. This point happens to be near the end of the series. Also I am doing ...
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Interpreting results from OLS breakpoint test with dummy variables
I have estimated a regression and found a breakpoint using chow:
Then I created a dummy variable which is 0 before the break and 1 from the break until the end. This is the result:
I was assuming ...
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Is a least squares linear model useless if it has significant breakpoints?
My professor gave me some data to study basic econometrics and I'm trying to develop the best model possible to fit financial returns of a company based on two different stock indexes (one from the ...
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How to improve on the preferred regression model?
After running the chow test, the F stat shows structural change is present in the model, so the unrestricted models are preferred. I am not sure how I can choose from the two regression models in the ...
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Chow breakpoint test for all series points
How appropriate would be, if you perform Chow breakpoint test for all points within series (without the very beginning and very ending), then find out where test suggest possible breakpoints (e.g. ...
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Hypothesis testing for a known parameter value vs. for an estimated parameter value
I will motivate this question with 2 examples:
Cointegration coefficient known vs. unknown
The expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates establishes that the cointegration ...
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Alternative to Chow test in the case of heavy tailed residual distribution
I would like to check if two subpopulations of my data have the same parameters in a model. Model 1 is based on subpopulation 1 and Model 2 is based on subpopulation 2.
Model 1: $y=x^\alpha + \...
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Comparing similarity Time Series
I have a collection of time series data.
The data is structured (Country, Year, Value).
~50 countries and ~30 data points for each country
Is there a way to cluster time series?
Time intervals are ...
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Comparing the regression coefficients of two time periods using unbalanced panel data and a fixed effects model
I'm currently trying to investigate how investors change their asset allocation due to liquidity risk and if their behaviour has changed since the financial crisis.
My data contains the asset ...
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Is a Chow test appropriate for this intervention analysis?
I am fairly new to R was wondering if this approach was appropriate. Sorry if I forget anything in my question.
I have long-form panel data for 15 years (2001-2015) for hundreds of counties and ...
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What GARCH model to use when identifying structural breaks in exchange rate?
I'm trying to test if a specific country's president's unexpected statements create a structural break in the exchange rate series (dollar).
I decided on what to do in what order but I'm having a ...
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Chow test and follow up
I am investigating if the sentiments of Facebook posts of politicians change before and after the election date. My dataset consists of around 50 politicians and their posts and I ran a sentiment ...
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perform chow test on time series
I am currently writing on my master thesis, therefore i have to find out if a specific moment had an impact on a time series.
By just looking at the plot I would say that after the prize reached his ...
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How to use a chow test for two subsamples
I want to investigate whether post-crisis saving levels are the same as pre-crisis. I understand how I can perform the chow test for two subsamples, but how does it work for three?
In other words, I ...
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Can I modify the Chow Statistic for use with ARIMAx models?
I'm trying to come up with a test for parameter constancy that's general enough to use for both OLS models and ARIMAx models. In all cases, we have non-stochastic exogenous variables.
Here's the chow ...
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What is the number of parameters when modeling a structural break?
Lets assume that we have a data set with a structural break at some point $x$.
This can be tested using the Chow test.
To build a model that takes this break into account, I stimate two linear ...
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Does the Chow test require the independent variables to be uncorrelated?
The Chow test evaluates if the coefficients in two linear regressions on different data sets are equal.
If two independent variables of the data sets are highly correlated, is the chow test still ...
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How to test if coefficients of two linear regressions differ in practice?
The Chow test is often suggested to test if the coefficients of two linear regressions differ or if a single linear regressions is more appropriate.
However, Chow test assumes equality of the ...
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How should I interpret a significant break in an insignificant independent variable?
I have got a OLS on overweight with year and excise on sugar as independent variables. Excise isn't significant in this regression, but if I do a Chow breakpoint test on my data (for the year the ...
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Mann-Whitney-U-Test as a replacement for Chow-Test?
The Chow-Test tests if there is a significant difference between a pair of regression equations under the null hypothesis the two models are equivalent.
My idea is to use the Mann-Whitney-U-Test to ...
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Testing for Partial Structural Break in R
I want to test for a partial unknown structural break in a time series. By this I mean that I want to test $H_0: \beta_{1} = \beta_{2}$ such that $Y_t = \beta_{0}^{'}X_t + \beta_{1}^{'}Z_t(t<T) + \...
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Chow tests for "poolability" with panel data
Say I have a regression model:
$$ Y = a + bX + cW + e $$
Suppose I have a balanced panel data set for $m$ populations over $n$ time periods. I want to know if I can pool all the data into one ...
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Is there a Chow test for higher dimensions?
With the original Chow test, you can only test two regressions vs a general one to see a structural change.
Is there a Chow test that can test structural change in 3,4...N regressions for structural ...
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Chow Structural Test in R [duplicate]
I am sitting on a pile of data concerning wages at a local company and other information, such as the gender, whether the person in question belongs to a minority group etc. What I would like to ...
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On which side resides the rejection area of a Chow test?
I know Chow test, it computes a test statistic, and the test statistic follows F distribution, but I don't know on which side does the null hypothesis reject.
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Alternative to Chow test for equality of estimates, when the data for the 1st group is not available
My goal is to compare published regression weights estimated from a sample in another country, with those of the same model established on our data.There is ample evidence on the web that a Chow test ...
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How to do 1-step Chow test?
Has anyone heard of 1-step Chow test? I've searched the keyword "1-step chow test" in Google but can not find any hits. What's the formula of this test?
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Question about Chow forecast test
I would like to check my understanding of the Chow Forecast test.The test is used to perform a test on the following models: $y_1=\beta X+\epsilon_1$ and $y_2=\beta X+ \nu + \epsilon_2$, with $H_0:\nu=...
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Why is the Chow test with $R^2$ wrong?
The regular way to compute the F-value for a Chow forecast test is:
$$F=\frac{(e_R'e_R-e_1'e_1)/g}{e_1'e_1/(n-k)}$$
My professor said something today about that a Chow forecast test using $R^2$ would ...
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Compare coefficients across groups in panel data set
I want to test for differences in (regression) coefficients across two groups. I understand, that this is possible by including interaction terms and performing a Chow-Test.
But what do you do if ...
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Stationarity and homoscedasticity in break tests
Let me start by saying that I'm really not an expert in statistics/econometrics.
Now to my questions: I have a data set containing weekly prices of a stock. I want to check whether a structural break ...
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How to tell if the relationship between time series variables changes over time?
Lets start out by saying that I'm a novice with statistics.
I'm looking to analyze the relationship between Return on Sales (ROS) and Asset Turnover (TAT) over time to see how they impact firm ...
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Chow's test and serially correlated model errors
how can one handle a time series with the Chow's test (in order to find a structural break) so that the assumption of independent model errors holds? I'm using the R function chow.test {gap}
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Chow test multiple variables
great site!
I have collected monthly deals data for how new ships are being finance from 2005-2012. The data consists of "deals" made by different shipping companies and the amount raised in each ...
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Strange results from Chow test - surprisingly significant p-value
I have a set of data, sampled once per year from 1990 to 2008. It looks more or less linear. However, doing a Chow test results in a significant p-value (0.003 and below), wherever I test for a ...
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How to identify structural change using a Chow test on Eviews?
I have this little problem and I would appreciate some help.
As part of my master thesis, I have to identify a trend in a univariate (GDP) time series for different countries. I have to separate the ...
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Identifying structural breaks in regression with Chow test
I have some problems in using (and finding) the Chow test for structural breaks in a regression analysis using R. I want to find out if there are some structural changes including another variable (...
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How to do Chow test for constancy of parameters across 2 groups
I am a beginner in statistics and poor in mathematics. I am trying to to assess effect of intervention in one state versus another using annual data.
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Chow test or not?
I am trying to set up an automatic screen to detect structural breaks in large numbers of time series.
The time series are weekly and represent behaviour of customers. I have set up a Chow test. I ...
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