Questions tagged [counterfactuals]

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Counterfactual Expectation Calculation

$\newcommand{\doop}{\operatorname{do}}$ Problem: (This is from Study question 4.3.1 from Causal Inference in Statistics: A Primer, by Pearl, Glymour, and Jewell.) Consider the causal model in the ...
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How to understand probability of Necessity (PN) ≥ 100%, as in this example from 'Causal Inference in Statistics a primer'

In the book 'Causal Inference in Statistics A Primer' By Pearl et al. there is an example towards the end, (Ex 4.5.1 page 119) that calculates the probability of necessity PN = 1, and the authors ...
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Counterfactuals in Econometric Modeling (Abortion-Crime Hypothesis Revisited)

Donohue and Levitt (2019) recently published a working paper revisiting the abortion-crime link. My question is specific to equation (2) in their paper (see below): $$ ln(CRIME_{st}) = \beta_{1}...
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What are counterfactual objectives?

What is a simple-to-understand definition/explanation for counterfactual objectives in Machine Learning? I heard this term in this 3 minutes paper presentation https://youtu.be/TOpJ4g9v-H4.
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Predicted individual treatment effect with continous treatments

I'm trying to apply Rubin's counterfactual model in an observational setting using machine learning predictions to simulate the unseen treatment-outcome pairs, according to https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih....
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139 views

Offline evaluation of Counter factual data for Recommendation

I am building new model and facing at offline evaluation tasks. My goal is to predict higher CTR(=click/impression) advertisement, and improve sales.(sales would improve if user watch more ...
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130 views

The counterfactual model for causation

My professional training took place in the late 1990's and I don't recall hearing some of the terminology that seems nigh-universal nowadays. I believe the accepted name is "counterfactual model for ...
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82 views

Conterfactual estimation in machine learning model

There are various techniques to build counterfactual estimations of certain variables for linear models in observational studies. Some of those are based on comparing the change in the predicted ...