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Questions tagged [discrete-time]

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0
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1answer
21 views

How to recognize an ARMA process?

By looking at the autocovariance, how could you recognise what discrete model (MA(q), AR(p), or ARMA(p,q)) is more appropriate to describe your data?
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0answers
28 views

Discrete-time survival model as linear probability model

Discrete-time survival (event history) models are typically estimated using a nonlinear transformation such as logit, probit, or completementary log-log. Logit assumes proportional odds, and similarly ...
3
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2answers
84 views

Simulation -Discrete Time Hazard model

How we can simulate the survival times for fitting discrete time hazard model?
3
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1answer
246 views

How to forecast integer time series in R?

For a while now I used to forecast integer/count time series as I would do for any other continuous time series, meaning : I use models like ARIMA, ETS, THETA, TBATS ... And then I simply round the ...
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0answers
22 views

best statistical approach to study the time evolution of clustering in a data set

I am using a stochastic method for the clustering of a data set. The number of clusters that this approach returns, can differ in each iteration. On the other hand, I would like to study the evolution ...
5
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0answers
27 views

Is average stopping time a continuous function of Bernoulli parameter?

Consider an infinite sequence $X = (X_i)_{i \in \mathbb N}$ of i.i.d Bernoulli random variables with (unknown) parameter $p \in (0,1)$, and let $N$ be a stopping time on $X$. Is it always the case ...
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0answers
12 views

Estimation of standard errors in conditional discrete time logistic regression models

I'm estimating a conditional discrete time logistic regression model in STATA and predict hazard and survival functions after logit using predictnl predictnl hazard= predict(pr), ci(hazard_lb1 ...
2
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0answers
28 views

Gaussian random variable over multiple periods

Let's assume that : $$X_0=X_0$$ $$X_1=(1+R_1)*X_0$$ $$...$$ $$X_N=(1+R_N)*X_{N-1}$$ where $R_i \sim \mathcal{N}(0,u^2)$. I am trying to compute the probability $P(X_N < a)$. How accurate is it to ...
0
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1answer
499 views

Linear mixed model: Time as continuous or discrete variable?

I am analysing a dataset from a randomised controlled trial (2 treatment groups) with measurements at 3 time points (weeks 0, 1 and 8). I am struggling with whether to analyse this with the three time ...
0
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1answer
79 views

Probability distribution for day of the year [closed]

"Day of the year" is an integer from 1 to 365, indicating the day within the year. I'd like to model the day of the year that a particular event occurs. The event must occur between day 100 and day ...
3
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1answer
1k views

discrete time survival analysis

I would greatly appreciate if you could let me know how to do discrete time survival analysis with time varying covariates. Some part of my data set is as follows: ...
0
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1answer
710 views

parametric survival regression and discrete time survival regression

I would greatly appreciate if you could let me know how to choose among different parametric distributions including gama, Weibull, lognormal, loglogistic and etc for panel (time series cross ...
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0answers
16 views

Looking for suitable method to update predictions

consider an e-commerce website which daily updates their transaction data. I take interest in predicting the revenue an account generates over a certain time range, say until the fifth year after the ...
2
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0answers
127 views

Difference between count time and discrete time survival analysis

Is there a practical or theoretical difference between count time survival analysis (e.g. ctset/cttost in Stata), where counts ...
3
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0answers
215 views

Interpreting a (integer valued) discrete predictor as a continuous variable?

I am currently working on a multiple linear regression in order to evaluate the impact of some variables on a contract's length, which can only take integer values (years). As I am only interested in ...
4
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0answers
206 views

Describe AR process with additive white noise using ARMA process

Disclaimer: This is a homework problem This is a problem from "Adaptive Filter Theory" by Haykin. Problem 2.10 (2nd edition). Problem A discrete-time stochastic process $\{x(n)\}$ that is real-...
1
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1answer
113 views

Algorithms for extracting moving average intervals

I have a series of discrete events and a global clock. Whenever an event happens, I record a timestamp and do some processing. Specifically, I am trying to compute "moving average" (not really) ...
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0answers
160 views

How to check assumptions for a discrete time survival analysis

What tests are required before and after estimating a discrete time survival model? In other words, how the assumptions should be tested and how the generalization of results should be investigated ...
1
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1answer
57 views

Coefficients in discrete proportional hazards model

I am aware of the rationale behind taking the exponentiated coefficients in a proportional hazards model as representing change in hazard per unit change in the corresponding predictor. This also ...
1
vote
1answer
70 views

I have a discrete-valued time series and would like to analyse it, but dont know where to start

Due to some health issues, each day at about the same time, I give myself a score which represents the state of my health: specifically, fatigue, with 1 being the worst and 10 the best. In practice, ...
0
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1answer
171 views

How to calculate the probability of death between two discrete time periods using survival curves

I was hoping somebody could help, I am trying to work out the probability of death between two time points on a survival curve. i.e. I have my survival curve as follows (this is an example Kaplan-...
0
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1answer
120 views

When is time treated as a discrete variable?

Time is usually treated as a continuous variable but in some cases it is discrete. An example would be with a drug study and measurements are taken at 1, 2 and 3 hours. Am I right to think an ...
1
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2answers
104 views

Resource request : How to prove the output of a process is random variables?

I am reading through articles which present the spectral properties of chaotic systems such that they can be candidates for generating pseudo random binary sequences. One such article, is http://...
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0answers
82 views

Difference between Cox Proportional Harzards Model and interval-based logistic model for survival regressions

I have a dataset of timestamped trader transactions (to the second). I want to conduct a survival analysis on the trades where a trade is started at startTime and ...
0
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2answers
97 views

Discrete survivor function expressed in terms of hazard

Let $T$ can take on values $t_1,t_2,\ldots,$ with $0\le t_1\le t_2,\ldots,$ and let the probability function be $$f(t_j)=Pr(T=t_j),\quad j=1,2,\ldots$$ The survivor function is then $$S(t)=Pr(T\ge ...
2
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0answers
163 views

Discrete time generator of stochastic process

While looking at one paper about Metropolic Hasting optimal convergence rates, I came accross a discrete time generator of Markov chain. It is defined as follows: $$G V(x)=nE\left [ \left( V(y)-V(x)\...