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Validity of Approximating a Poisson Mixture with a Simple Poisson

I'm considering approximating a Poisson mixture distribution with a simple Poisson distribution by using the mean, $\mu_\pi$, of the mixing distribution, $\pi$, as the rate parameter, $\lambda$, for ...
user1420303's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
11 views

EGARCH model with low R-squared and negative log-likelihood [closed]

I am not very experienced with coding and have been working on a model I found on GitHub to estimate the volatility of the S&P 500. The code implements an EGARCH(1,1) model, but I noticed that the ...
Francesco Ingrami's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
38 views

How to estimate population variance from a mixed model with a categorical variable?

I supposed it is a basic question, but I'm stuckle on it and I can't find the solution. I have a date base with the slurry dry matter content from different pig production stages (CATEGORY), also, ...
RoBeDo's user avatar
  • 41
6 votes
1 answer
271 views

Does it mean that we don't need a normal assumption for using sandwich estimator in normal linear regression?

According to this post, the blogger uses the theory of estimating equations to construct the robust sandwich variance estimator. In this post, it said that: Now we ...
doraemon's user avatar
  • 364
0 votes
0 answers
22 views

Derive gamma-parameters from preset R^2 in mixed models

For a simulation study in R, I want to select the effect sizes according to a preset $R^2$. Consider this two level random intercept mixed model, with one L1 predictor $X_{ij}$ and one L2 predictor $...
Linus's user avatar
  • 153
1 vote
0 answers
16 views

Compare variance explained between 4 x 300 multiple linear regressions

I calculated four different multiple linear regressions (model 1-4), each with a different set of independent variables. Model 2 contains all the independent variables of model 1, plus some extra. ...
ZZplant's user avatar
  • 11
4 votes
2 answers
182 views

Finding the variance of a stochastic process

This is part 2 of this question Calculate the mean and variance of a stochastic process? For the Polya Urn problem, I am trying to understand why the ratio of the variance is: $$\operatorname{Var}(X_n)...
urnproblems's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
11 views

Variance estimation from dependent data

I would like to estimate the variance of a zero-mean normal distribution, $x_n \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \sigma^2)$, from data of the form $y_n = u_n x_n$ where the input $u_n \in [u_{\min}, u_{\max}]$ can ...
bree's user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
1 answer
40 views

If $n\operatorname{var}( \sum_{ij}M_{ij}v_{i}v_{j}) = (\sum_{i}v_{i}^{2})^{2} - \sum_{i}v_{i}^{4}$ for any $v_i$, what can we say about $M_{ij}$?

Let $M_{ij}$ be a real random matrix, constrained to be symmetric $M_{ij}=M_{ji}$, and with zero diagonal, $M_{ii}=0$. Suppose we know that, for any real vector $v_i$, the following holds: $$\...
a06e's user avatar
  • 4,552
1 vote
1 answer
40 views

If $\operatorname{var}\left(\sum_{ij}A_{ij}v_{i}v_{j}\right)=0$ for any $v_i$, then $\operatorname{var}(A_{ij})=0$?

Let $A_{ij}$ be a random matrix, satisfying $A_{ii}=0$ and $A_{ij}=A_{ji}$. Suppose we know that $\operatorname{var}\left(\sum_{ij}A_{ij}v_{i}v_{j}\right)=0$ for any vector $v_i$. What can we say ...
a06e's user avatar
  • 4,552
0 votes
0 answers
16 views

Compare two variances

I am reading this paper I have difficulty understanding Section 6: A Linear Time Statistic and Test. At the beginning, they claim that $\text{MMD}^2_l$ has higher variance than $\text{MMD}^2_u$ (we ...
Pipnap's user avatar
  • 131
2 votes
2 answers
37 views

Predicting the probability distribution of a deterministic dataset

In classical machine learning regression, we often assume the target variable $y$, given an input $x$, follows a probability distribution, allowing us to model and predict not just the expected value ...
juekai's user avatar
  • 121
0 votes
0 answers
24 views

Find the confidence interval of ratio of variance with unknown distribution but known mean [closed]

From the previous question, I'm going to assume that for a random sample $X_1,X_2,\dots,X_n$ and $Y_1,Y_2,\dots,Y_n$, that $\frac{\bar{X}-\mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \xrightarrow{D} N(0,1)$ by ...
Albert Wijaya's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
36 views

R issue with the same random effect variance value (sigma^2) in sjPlot::tab_model() for two separate glmmTMB models

I have two glmmTMB models fit with binomial distributions that I am attempting to display their model summary output using sjPlot::tab_model() Databases, Models, and tab_model() code ...
Eric Dilley's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
49 views

exploratory factor analysis, oblique rotation, variance explained

The question how to compute the variance explained by a factor model obtained through exploratory factors analysis pops up from time to time. A summary with many possibilities is here: Calculating ...
Tamas's user avatar
  • 165
0 votes
0 answers
19 views

Variance of product of multiple i.i.d. random variables? [duplicate]

Definition: Random variables X1, X2, ..., Xn are said to be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) if they are independent, and they have the same marginal distributions: FX1(x)=FX2(x)=...=...
Who am I 's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
57 views

Learning to do the parametric bootstrap

I learned about the parametric bootstrap (Can we bootstrap regression coefficients instead of data?) and I am interested in applying this method to determine the confidence interval on the ratio of ...
user_436830's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
199 views

Maximum Variance of 3 Numbers in a Range

If I have a set of 3 numbers $(x, y, z)$, all between $A$ and $B$ inclusive (e.g. $A = 0 $ and $B = 1$), what would the maximum variance be? Intuition says it would be (e.g.) $0.1666...$, given by $x =...
Alex Bridges's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
71 views

Can we bootstrap regression coefficients instead of data?

I have a question about using the bootstrap in situations (e.g. Confidence intervals for the ratio of marginal effects? (GAM Regression)) where the traditional bootstrap method might be complicated (e....
user_436830's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
28 views

Comparing two samples with same number of observations and having same mean but different variances

Given two different set data samples have same mean and same number of observations; if their variances are same, what can be concluded? Also if both variances are different what can be concluded? ...
Redd1235's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
46 views

Is there an analytical solution to the distribution of a sum of observations drawn from a Frechet distribution?

Let $X_i$ be an iid draw from a Frechet distribution. Let $\alpha_i \in \mathbb{R}$. Is there an analytical expression of the distribution of $\alpha_1X_1 + \alpha_2X_2 + \alpha_3X_3$? That is, can I ...
John Go's user avatar
  • 31
0 votes
1 answer
50 views

Connecting two different meanings of "degree of freedom"

I have heard at least 2 meanings of "degree of freedom". The parameter in a t-distribution. The the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary (like ...
Iterator516's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
50 views

How to test for equal variances of correlated observations?

Let $r$ be a vector valued random variable with mean zero and variance $\Omega$. Let $r_t$ denote a specific observation of $r$ at time $t$. $\Omega$ is unknown but I have 2 estimates of it: $\Omega_a$...
Chechy Levas's user avatar
  • 1,275
1 vote
0 answers
24 views

Variance of weighted average of 𝑛 correlated random variables

This answer explains how to calculate the variance of an average of n correlated random variables. How can I do it for a weighted average of n correlated random variables? My random variables are ...
Abdirizak's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
61 views

How to separate 2 variances from observed variance?

I have that I broke down to the following: var(predicted_conc) = actual_conc*var1 + var2 Note that the random variable generators are independent, hence variance is added not standard deviation. I run ...
PPenton's user avatar
  • 125
1 vote
1 answer
43 views

Unbiased Variance MLE Distribution

If you take $10000$ samples from a normal distribution, the unbiased variance MLE (with Bessel's correction) is $$\hat{\sigma}^2 = \frac{1}{9999}\sum_i (x_i - \hat{\mu})$$ Apparently the distribution ...
Trajan's user avatar
  • 503
2 votes
1 answer
51 views

Why is the second assumption (i.e., known population variance) unrealistic when calculating Z-interval for a mean?

I'm learning the calculation of confidence interval about the mean by Z-interval. The lecture said that: ... the second assumption about the population variance being known is unrealistic. After all, ...
T X's user avatar
  • 1,075
4 votes
1 answer
53 views

Clarifying the default "standard error" for error bars in Microsoft Excel/Powerpoint plots (calculated without N or SD) [closed]

I have noticed that Excel allows you to toggle "error bars" for any given plot and one of the options is to have the error bars denote standard errors. This is peculiar since if you do a ...
JElder's user avatar
  • 1,252
1 vote
1 answer
56 views

Is it possible for the residual variance in a model to be greater than the total variance of the variable being modeled?

I've fitted a linear regression in R with svyglm from the survey package. The data is weighted, and the model uses a ...
edstatsuser's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
45 views

Cross-fitting seems to always reduce asymptotic variance for estimators converging slower than $\sqrt{n}$ - how can this be true?

Setup: Imagine the situation where you for a fixed value of your covariates have a regression estimator $\tilde{f}$ based on $n$ i.i.d. observations which is asymptotically normal with convergence ...
Probability Boi's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
245 views

Variance of MLE's in mixture distribution

I am studying mixture models, and I am interested in calculating the variance of the estimators using maximum likelihood. How is the variance calculated in this case? I already implemented the EM ...
daniel's user avatar
  • 281
2 votes
1 answer
160 views

How do I estimate the mean and variance from data?

I have made a periodogram (plot given below) from some 1D data, and would like to estimate the bias and variance of it. because by minimizing both I could select the ideal window size for calculating ...
Atom's user avatar
  • 73
1 vote
0 answers
6 views

how do I compute radial variance given sigma_x, sigma_y given that x and y are uncorrelated?

sigma_x, sigma_y are given and sigma_xy = 0. How can I convert coordinate system for covariance matrix from cartesian to polar and by that compute sigma_rho?
noy's user avatar
  • 11
6 votes
2 answers
249 views

When can bagging actually lead to higher variance?

Under the Gauss-Markov assumptions for linear regression, the ordinary least squares estimate (OLS) famously has the minimum variance amongst all unbiased linear estimators. "Bagging" in ...
Terence C's user avatar
  • 232
0 votes
1 answer
22 views

Intraclass correlation -- which one?

I have data collected from an employee survey, in which employees are asked to rate various aspects of their work experience (like engagement, collaboration, and teamwork). Each row is a record of an ...
RunChiRun's user avatar
  • 103
1 vote
0 answers
22 views

Convert units, get different results when fitting extreme value distribution with extRemes

I am using the fevd() and lr.test() functions to examine precipitation using the extRemes R ...
shaider's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
1 answer
29 views

Calculating mean variance between double determined measurement of random variable

I have two sets of data, measuring a varible that changes at random (concentration of a gas). The measurement are double determined, providing two data points for each measurement. I would like to ...
user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
10 views

Detecting Volatility Clusters in Time Series, Stock Returns (%) in particular

My primary objective is to detect the presence of volatility clusters in financial time series, stock returns (%) in particular. So, it can be translated into the detection of "conditional ...
Pulpito's user avatar
13 votes
2 answers
1k views

How do we stop bayesian estimates from being overconfident?

I posted this question today about strategies for regression with small sample sizes. I thought Bayesian regression might be a good choice here: Bayesian regression for correcting small sample sizes ...
user_436830's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
36 views

How do I compute the Standard Error for summed percentages?

I feel profoundly stupid for having to ask this question--it feels like the answer should be obvious, or at the very least that it should be easy to find on the internet, but so far I have been unable ...
Calen Horton's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
35 views

Error in derivation of variance of $\beta_1$ in SLR [duplicate]

I'm trying to derive the variance of the slope parameter for a simple linear regression in the following way, however I'm running into an issue I don't know how to resolve. Define $y_i=\beta_0+\beta_1\...
aort01's user avatar
  • 181
3 votes
1 answer
60 views

variance of known finite population from all possible bootstrap sample means

A question I know has little practical interest but I was asked this and have been stuck for a day thinking about it. If we take the set of all possible bootstrap samples size n from a small/finite ...
bikeactuary's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
32 views

Bounding the variance of random variables which solve a linear equation

Consider a matrix $\boldsymbol{M} : \mathbb{R}^{N\times N}$ where every element $M_{ij}$ is a continuous i.i.d. random variable of unspecified distribution, but with known mean and variance. Consider ...
Anti Earth's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
122 views

Welch-Satterthwaite degrees of freedom (combining rule for indirect comparison)

In Network Analysis, an indirect comparison of the mean difference between treatment "A" and "B" from different studies over a common reference treatment "C" is made by: $...
whoo's user avatar
  • 83
0 votes
0 answers
38 views

Second order statistics of sample statistics for random vectors

Good morning. I have a set of iid random vectors $\{\boldsymbol{X}^i\}_{i=1}^N$, whose expected value is $\mathbb{E}[\boldsymbol{X}^i] = \boldsymbol{\mu}$ and whose variance - covariance matrix is $\...
Lindorf's user avatar
  • 21
1 vote
1 answer
78 views

Expectation of the minimum of random variables (Exponential + Erlang)

Consider the following random variable $$ Z=\min_i\{X_i+Y_i\} $$ for $-n\leq i\leq n$, where $X_i\overset{\mathrm{iid}}{\sim}\text{Exp}(\lambda)$, $Y_i\overset{\mathrm{iid}}{\sim}\text{Erlang}(|i|,\...
sam wolfe's user avatar
  • 150
3 votes
1 answer
85 views

Maximum of two independent gamma variables

Let $X_1$, $X_2$ be two independent random variables with different gamma distributions, and $X = \max\{X_1, X_2\}$. Are there known results for the distribution of $X$? Actually I only need to know $\...
Luis Mendo's user avatar
  • 1,191
0 votes
0 answers
25 views

Linearity of and pointwise equality in expectation of min() function

Consider the expressions $f = c + s*E[min(a/s, X)]$ and $g = E[min(c + a, c+sX)]$ where c >= 0 0 < s <= 1 a >= 0 X ~ Poisson($\lambda$/s) I'd like to think that $f = g$, reasoning as ...
BeechAndBirch's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
13 views

Coefficient of Variation between two ratio metrics

I want to compare which metric is more stable (cost per impressions vs. cost per video view). I have used CV (coefficient of variation) and looked for which metric CV is lower for the same campaign ...
Ksvamb's user avatar
  • 11
3 votes
1 answer
183 views

Beta hat conditional variance - Hansen Econometrics

I'm working through Econometrics by Bruce Hansen, and I'm not sure how to get to his conditional variance proof on page 90. Hansen says: For any $n \times r$ matrix $\mathbf{A} = \mathbf{A}(\mathbf{X})...
rudinable's user avatar
  • 101

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