# Questions tagged [games]

Use this tag for sports and games like video games, poker, chess, go, and others similar. Do not use it for puzzles or enigma questions (see puzzle tag).

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### Does kerbal space program 2 have devs? [closed]

Nothing tells me that ksp2 is dead but also no information about the remaining devs.
41 views

### How to evaluate whether the results of multiple games conform to the probability distribution of their respective states

There are $n$ games, and each game has a state after the start. Based on this state, the probability of the outcome of the game can be calculated. For example, there are 3 type of results, and the ...
23 views

### Poker strategy with blind betting

I came across a version of Texas hold ‘em poker where if you’re blind, your chip value is doubled at betting time (ie. to call 10, you only put in 5). You can look at your cards at any time, at which ...
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1 vote
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### Computing heuristic from winrate and number of games

I need to sort big sets of players (of a MOBA) based on their performance represented by their - number of - games and their winrate on these games. I reduced the initial set of players based on their ...
1 vote
23 views

### How many coin flips before heads has a 10 flip lead?

Coin Flip Runs Trying to figure out an optimum gambling strategy where the win/loss outcome of every roll is 50/50. If I’m using a laddering or martingale system on losses, I need to know how many ...
1 vote
17 views

### Gambling in multiple rounds with a maximum permitted bankroll and favorable or unfavourable probabilities

This is based on a deleted question, with the premises clarified to my understanding. You are gambling in a casino with particular rules: Bets are paid off at even amounts, so if you win a round you ...
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### How do bookmakers update their odds in real-time?

I wasn't satisfied with the answers on this question, so I'm asking again: how do bookmakers adjust their implied probabilities as bets arrive sequentially? Suppose there are four things to bet on, ...
• 21.2k
49 views

### How to shuffle and deal with constraints?

I'm playing a 4-player game of cards. My opponents are called A, B and C. At the beginning of the game, each player has been dealt a hand of cards out of a deck containing 4 suits of cards: Black, Red,...
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### Probability of 5 card texas holdem poker royal flush

How would I calculate the probability of getting a royal flush with 2 player Texas holdem poker. A single randomly shuffled 52 card deck, 2 players (p1 & p2) are sequentially dealt 4 cards i.e. p1 ...
135 views

How to forecast revenue based on previous revenue and advertisement budget? This is how the data looks like, see full data on google sheet or even better on Colab notebook. EDIT: With my limited ...
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### Is it reasonable to use Chi Square data in a bivariate analysis?

I am currently working on a report about the frequency of hand types in Texas Hold'em and whether or not the frequencies change when there are multiple players involved. For example, is there a change ...
31 views

### Probability of rolling any number 10 times at any given point in the sequence [duplicate]

Imagine a race, where each runner has a number, the race track is 100 meters, and each time you roll a fair 6-sided die, the corresponding runner moves 10 meters. I would like to calculate the ...
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### Getting a Many to One LSTM/MLP to overfit

I have a dataset of 20 thousand horses. For each horse, I have its 10 last historical races (finishing time, position, track name, distance etc. for 41 features) and am trying to predict its finishing ...
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### "Last Out" Raffle Probabilities/Stats

I'm part of an online community that raffles away prizes, typically with 30 or 40 spots in a raffle. The numbered chips/balls are placed into some type of hopper, and pulled out one at a time (random/...
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### In games (e.g. poker) where luck/chance is a factor, should the more skilled player play more games with a lower stake?

I'm not sure if this is the right site for my question. In games (e.g. poker) where luck/chance is a factor, should the more skilled player play more games with a lower stake? Intuitively, yes, if you ...
27 views

### Significance test for trend in time series with multiple sets of observations

Tomorrow there will be a race in which six runners participate in the 100 m dash. I will be able to capture the speed of each runner at each meter, so for each runner there will be a time series with ...
40 views

### Significance of outliers with multiple weighted coins

tl;dr: I have N weighted coins, each of which has been flipped some number of times (n_i), and for which I've measured the ...
56 views

### Bayesian estimation for a ranking outcome variable

I'm interested in modeling how a ranking depends on a continuous feature. I have many related groups of these rankings, so I want to use partial pooling with the usual Bayesian machinery, but I'm ...
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### Three Envelopes Problem

In a game we have 3 envelopes, A, B, C, with a random number (from 1 to 100) sealed inside each. Nobody knows what number is inside. We win the game if we find the highest number, using only one of 2 ...
94 views

### D&D - Confidence Interval for enemy armor class

In dungeons and dragons, characters and monsters have two properties called Attack Bonus($AB \, \in \, \mathbb{Z}$) and Armor Class($AC \, \in \, \mathbb{N}$). Let $AB_c$ be the character attack bonus ...
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2k views

### Probability of defeating a dragon in one turn rolling a 20 sided die

In math class we were asked an optional problem I can't solve on my own: You are fighting a dragon with 250 hit points and are rolling a 20 sided die to deal damage. The dragon takes damage equal to ...
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### What subjects in statistics should I focus on to determine the optimal time to to quit a game of chance while I'm ahead?

I am trying to answer the question: Given a game of chance with a "house edge" E (defined below), what is the maximum "amount ahead" ...
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### Probablity of winning a Jumping game

I am playing a game at the moment. I won't mention it but the aim is to make around 150 perfect jumps in a row to get through a level. You can "practice" It lets you play through the level ...
79 views

### Predicting outcomes of chess games based on engine evaluation of current position

I wish to train a classifier for chess games. For any given chess position, you can use one or more chess engines to give the position a numeric score (evaluation). A score less than 0 indicates that ...
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3k views

### How can a statistician who has the data for a non-normal distribution guess better than one who only has the mean?

Let's say we have a game with two players. Both of them know that five samples are drawn from some distribution (not normal). None of them know the parameters of the distribution used to generate the ...
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### Expected Value of a Fundraiser Raffle Ticket with Three Prizes

The raffle ticket above represents a local fundraiser. The first prize is a smart TV valued at 1200 dollars, the second prize is a cooler valued at 200 dollars, and the third prize is a 100 dollar ...