Questions tagged [machine-learning]

Machine learning algorithms build a model of the training data. The term "machine learning" is vaguely defined; it includes what is also called statistical learning, reinforcement learning, unsupervised learning, etc. ALWAYS ADD A MORE SPECIFIC TAG.

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Link Anomaly Detection in Temporal Network

I came across this paper that uses link anomaly detection to predict trending topics, and I found it incredibly intriguing: The paper is "Discovering Emerging Topics in Social Streams via Link Anomaly ...
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How does a Relevance Vector Machine (RVM) work?

Relevance Vector Machines (RVMs) are really interesting models when contrasted with the highly geometrical (and popular) SVMs. In the light of a question like How does a Support Vector Machine (SVM) ...
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1answer
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Backpropagation on a convolutional layer

Online tutorials describe in depth the convolution of an image with a filter, etc; However, I have not seen one that describes the backpropagation on the filter (at least visually). First let me try ...
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951 views

Bayesian Q-learning

Suppose that, for every state $s$, there is a set of actions $\mathcal{A}(s)$ that can be chosen in that state. Let $Q(s, a)$ denote the expected utility of choosing action $a \in \mathcal{A}(s)$ in ...
12
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1answer
345 views

Why does entropy as error measure leads to overfitting?

This post on KDnuggets quoting the post by John Langford states that entropy and mutual information when used as error measures can lead to overfitting. Could you go into more details on this?
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Rademacher complexity of logistic regression

Consider logistic regression. We have the logistic loss function, $\phi: R\rightarrow [0,1], \phi(u)=\log(1+\exp(-u))$, which is Lipschitz, and we have the linear function class $F=\{f_w:R^d \...
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766 views

How to pick length-scale bounds for RBC kernels in Gaussian Process Regression?

I am trying to fit GP regression models to several thousand $x, y$ pairs independantly. I am using Python's sklearn implementation with a constant kernel plus an RBF kernel plus a white noise kernel. ...
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How can I get feature importance for Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier?

I have a dataset consisting of 4 classes and around 200 features. I have implemented a Gaussian Naive Bayes classifier. I want now calculate the importance of each feature for each pair of classes ...
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2answers
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Scaling the backward variable in HMM Baum-Welch

I am just trying to implement the scaled Baum-Welch algorithm and I have run into a problem where my backward variables, after scaling, are over the value of 1. Is this normal? After all, ...
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436 views

Can Frank Harrell's method be used to obtain optimism-corrected regression coefficients?

I used a regularized (LASSO) Cox regression to estimate relapse times of patients and used Frank Harrell's bootstrapping method to obtain an optimism-corrected performance estimate of my model. ...
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Understanding equation used by Hastie et al

I am trying to recreate FIGURE 3.6 from Elements of Statistical Learning. The only information about the figure is included in the caption. I am not clear on what the equation on the Y-axis means ...
8
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1answer
939 views

Applying machine learning techniques to panel data

I have a panel data in which I observe 1500 companies and many individuals work for those companies for multiple periods. I have explanatory variables at both individual (e.g. race, age, education) ...
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Post processing random forests using regularised regression: what about bias?

I have been playing around with post processing the results of the random forest for regression machine learning algorithm in order to try and do better than the default mean of all trees prediction. ...
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1answer
7k views

What does “def” above an equals sign mean?

I am reading this: https://www.cs.ubc.ca/~murphyk/Papers/bayesGauss.pdf and on equation (17), there is a def on top of the equal sign. What does this mean?
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Is there a ML or DL tool that can learn to detect periodically occurring patterns in a one dimensional time series?

I am trying to create a tool that labels refrigerator temperature readings. A reading is taken every 5 minutes, and its label identifies whether of not it was taken while the refrigerator was ...
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313 views

Reinforcement *Model* Learning

Classical reinforcement learning (Q- or Sarsa-Learning) can be extended with models of the environment. These models are usually transition tables that contain the probability of arriving at a ...
7
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1answer
507 views

Deep Learning vs Structured Learning

I am interested in the differences between using large, deep learning networks vs Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs), like Random Field models, for structured learning (e.g. on images, or labels of ...
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2answers
5k views

Is it ok to get negative Cosine Similarity using LSA?

I am getting negative cosine similarity value between two documents in Latent Semantic analysis. How should it be treated?
7
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666 views

Machine learning with ordered labels

The usual method for adapting binary classifiers like various SVMs to multilabel data is one-vs-all, which assumes that labels are independent and in case of a prediction error we don't care what ...
7
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1answer
4k views

Unscented Kalman filter-negative covariance matrix

I have recently started working on the unscented Kalman filter. I coded the numerically stable version (i.e., square root Kalman filter) and used MATLAB for implementing. In the final update step, ...
6
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0answers
37 views

Brier Score and extreme class imbalance

Since I've heard about proper scoring rules for binary classification like the Brier score or Log Loss, I am more and more convinced that they are drastically underrepresented in practice in favor of ...
6
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1answer
91 views

Feature Engineering : combine a categorical Feature and a continuous Feature

When we analyze data , we can observe several variables that may contain mutual information. For an example , There can be a binary variable such as Y=Have you ever smoke ? And then there will be a ...
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103 views

Moments of $Y=X_1 + X_2 X_3 + X_4 X_5 X_6 +\cdots$

The $X_i$'s are i.i.d. and $X$ denotes any of these random variables. We assume here that $|E(X)|<1$ to guarantee convergence. I am interested in particular in the third moment $E(Y^3)$. For the ...
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52 views

How to combine noisy and noise-free datasets to train a model

Overview Suppose I have two datasets, both of which consist of rows of features and their matching labels. One of these datasets is noise-free and its labels correspond to the ground truth, but the ...
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Change image input size of a pre-trained convnet

maybe this question will sound a bit as a newbie one but I'd like to have some clarification. I'm using a VGG16-like convnet, pre-trained with VGG16 weights and edited top layers to work with my ...
6
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Deriving linear regression gradient with MSE

So I've been tinkering around with the backpropagation algorithm and to try to get a better understanding of how it works and my calculus is quite rusty. I've derived the gradient for linear ...
6
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1answer
448 views

How do bias, variance and overfitting relate to each other?

I'm quite new to Machine Learning, and after reading about the bias-variance tradeoff and overfitting/underfitting, several questions raised in my mind: If I have a model with 15% error on train set ...
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710 views

Compatible Function Approximation Theorem in Reinforcement Learning

In the Compatible Function Approximation Theorem, the following condition is required to make the policy gradient to be exact $\nabla J(\theta) = \mathbb{E}_{\pi_{\theta}}\left [\nabla_{\theta}log\pi_{...
6
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1answer
683 views

Multi-label classification: Predict product category

I want to predict to which product category a product belongs. A total of 400k products need to be translated from the old (less refined) to the new product category tree. (E.g. alarm clock used to ...
6
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0answers
4k views

Bagging of xgboost

The extreme-gradient boosting algorithm seems to be widely applied these days. I often have the feeling that boosted models tend to overfit. I know that there are parameters in the algorithm to ...
6
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0answers
1k views

Dealing with auxiliary random variables for Mean-Field Variational Inference in Bayesian Poisson factorization

I am studying as a part of a class assignment a recent paper on Poisson factorization. Some points of the paper regarding the usage of some auxiliary variables are not clear to me. I would like to ...
6
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403 views

Inter-rater agreement of a gold standard dataset - a ceiling for reliable evaluation of algorithms?

In my field, a dated gold standard dataset is used to track progress in algorithm development. Now when the state-of-the-art algorithms obtain higher correlation than is the inter-rater agreement of ...
6
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1answer
208 views

How to train a model when instead of a target we have a range where it is?

Often in machine learning we have a situation when target is numeric (real or integer). Each target comes with an associated input vector. The goal is to learn the mapping from the input vectors to ...
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k-fold cross validation vs k times hold-out validation

I am facing the evaluation of a genetic programming algorithm. I am using the Proben1 cancer1 dataset to evaluate the models created by this algorithm. This dataset contains 699 samples, which is ...
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796 views

Classification of multiple time series and case level attributes

I'm pretty new to machine learning so wondering whether someone can help check my thinking or point me in the right direction! I need to create a classifier which can predict an outcome for a person ...
6
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0answers
2k views

Maximum entropy classifier and sentiment analysis

I am doing a project work in sentiment analysis (on Twitter data) using machine learning approach. In order to find the 'best' way to this I have experimented with naive Bayesian and maximum entropy ...
5
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1answer
167 views

Time Series Regressor Selection

I am interest in a (multivariate) algorithm to identify relevant regressors (which are itself time series) to forecast a time series of interest. The question is worded in general terms because this ...
5
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0answers
41 views

Feature engineering for sheet music

I have a large dataset of digitized music scores that I'd like to use as input to a network. Initially, I'm looking to train networks to identify key signatures, tempo, dynamics, etc. from the raw ...
5
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0answers
370 views

“Hierarchical” Random forests?

Background I am using Random Forest to classify ~900 objects based on a large number (> 80) predictors. I split these 70:30 for training and testing. The overall model does fairly well, giving an ...
5
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1answer
97 views

Conterfactual estimation in machine learning model

There are various techniques to build counterfactual estimations of certain variables for linear models in observational studies. Some of those are based on comparing the change in the predicted ...
5
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0answers
293 views

what is the mistake of convergence proof in Adam

Sashank J. Reddi et. al in their paper "On the convergence of Adam and beyond" say that, Adam's proof of convergence as stated in original paper is wrong. More than that, they point out that the value ...
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0answers
62 views

Choosing the number of hidden layers and nodes in a Deep Belief Network

What are the recent advances and current best practices in choosing the number and size of stacked Restricted Boltzmann Machines in Deep Belief Networks ?
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A few questions regarding the practice of heterogeneous treatment effect analysis (a.k.a, interaction detection or subgroup analysis) methods

Imagine I am looking at a randomized experiment between a control and one or more treatment conditions. For example, I have a treatment that aims to get people out of debt. I randomize people to ...
5
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0answers
210 views

Quantifying uncertainty when fitting a statistical model to partial effects/dependencies from a random forest (or other machine learning model)

Question: I estimate the partial dependence of $y$ on one predictor in a fitted random forest (RF). I want to now fit a parametric model to this partial dependence. How can I estimate my uncertainty ...
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0answers
661 views

Why no one talks about stochastic conjugate gradient descent?

As is known to all, stochastic gradient descent is a popular optimizer in machine learning. There have been many variants of SGD. However, it has come to my attention that no one talks about the ...
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157 views

When is there a free lunch?

The no free lunch theorem (NFL) states that Theorem (Wolpert and Macready 1997) Let $A$ be any learning algorithm for the task of binary classification with respect to the $0−1$ loss over a ...
5
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1answer
450 views

Measuring the bias-variance tradeoff

Does anyone know of a metric that quantifies the bias-variance tradeoff of a given fitted model? I'm not talking about measuring the MSE in cross validation, I'm interested in a single generic or ...
5
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1answer
416 views

What is the utility/significance of PAC learnability and VC dimension?

I've been reading Shalev-Shwartz & Ben-David's book, "Understanding Machine Learning", which presents the PAC theory in its Part I. While the theory of PAC learnability does appear very elegant ...
5
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0answers
97 views

Sparse vs compact representations

In sparse representations, we like to find representation of the input where most elements are nearly zero. On the other hand, in some applications we prefer dense representations such as word ...
5
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1answer
2k views

Using Rolling Forecast Origin Resampling in R for Neural Network Time Series

I am new to time series prediction and forecasting with neural networks and am having trouble with cross validation. I am fitting a multivariate time series. I have 236 monthly observations. I am ...

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