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Correlated random variables and ensembles (law of large numbers?)

Consider $n$ i.i.d random variables. By the law of large numbers (LLN) the sample average would converge after some time to the expected value. Let's assume the random variables are correlated. Would ...
displayname's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
72 views

How does Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence relate to Deep Learning?

I am reading this article and it has the following phrase - "Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence assigns belief masses a set of classes (unlike assigning a probability to a single class)". ...
desert_ranger's user avatar
2 votes
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118 views

How to prove that neural network estimates posterior distribution

Let's say that I train a neural network in a classic binary classification setting where all the training data has labels in $\{-1, +1\}$. From my understanding, if I train the network with a log-loss ...
user9740643's user avatar
2 votes
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35 views

Comparing prediction distributions across many classes

I have a deep neural network with a Softmax classifier as the final layer. For each observation, the network produces a probability distribution over the 64 possible classes that the observation can ...
pir's user avatar
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1 vote
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Neural Networks Miscalibration Measure

I have read these two papers related to the neural network miscalibration problem: "On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks" and "Multivariate Confidence Calibration for Object ...
alimagadovk's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
17 views

When imputing missing labels Y1 == NaN during training, how do additional target vectors (Y2 != NaN) impact learning Y1==NaN?

I am training a Mixture Density Network (MDN) to map from continuous input vectors X to continuous targets Y [i.e. X -> Y]. There are missing labels on vector Yi, which I impute from the mdn (as ...
j_bayes's user avatar
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0 answers
165 views

How to understand the density in machine learning?

We can calculate the conditional density using Eq.1[3]. $$ p_{\theta, \Lambda}(y \mid \boldsymbol{x})=\frac{\exp \left(f_{\theta, \Lambda}(\boldsymbol{x})[y]\right)}{\sum_{k=1}^{n} \exp \left(f_{\...
Fengfan Zhou's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
258 views

How to sample from a distribution approximated by a Neural Network?

There are a few models already that approximate distributions with a neural network i.e.: energy models define a density function $f(x)= e^{S(x,w)}/Z$ where $S$ is a neural network and $Z$ is a ...
Edv Beq's user avatar
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1 vote
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66 views

Skipgram model theory confusion

In the output layer of a skipgram model, there are $|\text{Context}|*|\text{Vocab}|$ values. And for each context word, the values are basically the dot product of the input word representation and ...
Aditya Agarwal's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
264 views

Softmax Classifier gives weird confusion matrix

I'm currently working on a problem of binary classification in keras and have decided to use the softmax function as the activation function for my final classification layer. My current network is as ...
Joseph Anderson's user avatar
1 vote
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642 views

KL divergence of Variational Autoencoder not decreasing

I have been trying to train a VAE to generate cat pictures. The images are of size 64 by 64. But upon training my reconstruction loss decreases whereas my KL loss remains constant/slightly increases. ...
Yash Yenugu's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
548 views

Probability that a population mean exceeds a threshold

In Googling this question, I see that there are a variety of similar tests but I couldn't find anything given the exact way I'm approaching this problem. This might be something obvious but I'm not ...
SuperCodeBrah's user avatar
1 vote
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414 views

Did I understand the usage of Gumbel-Softmax reparametrization correctly?

I am working on a deep learning model, which has a mixture of experts formulation like $\log p(y|x)=\log \sum_{z}p(y|z,x,\theta)p(z|x,\phi)$. So, each $p(y|z,x,\theta)$ is a deep learning classifier, ...
Ufuk Can Bicici's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
35 views

Normalization: different approach

Today I had a discussion about the right way to normalize data, especially image data. The standard approach, as found in many tutorials etc., seems to be following. For example, the data has a range ...
meridius's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
734 views

Splitting Probability Distributions Into Many Factors : The Deep Learning Book

In chapter 3, section 3.14: Structured Probabilistic Models in The Deep Learning Book the authors write this, with the following equation. Machine learning algorithms often involve probability ...
Leon Fedden's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
704 views

How can an ensemble perform worse than all but one of its constituents?

I came across a very unusual situation: I trained 5 deep nets on a problem. 4 of the 5 had excellent in- and out-of-sample accuracy. I trained a classifier on the probability outputs of the 5 deep ...
William's user avatar
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54 views

Can we obtain probability distribution of a repeatable event using Neural Networks?

We have a data where input of every sample corresponds to how many times a dice is rolled. The output is the sum of all the outcomes. For instance the data is ...
ozgur's user avatar
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1 vote
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330 views

Hammersley–Clifford theorem

I'm reading this paper http://image.diku.dk/igel/paper/AItRBM-proof.pdf and I got stuck in page 4 with equation (1) that's based on Hammersley–Clifford theorem. I'm not good in reading set theory ...
Jack Twain's user avatar
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87 views

Normalizing Flow Penalization

I am looking to train a normalizing flow, specifically a Masked Autoregressive Flow model. However, this model leads to high variance on lower dimensional, less complex data. I am using a neural ...
user2793618's user avatar
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0 answers
62 views

Understanding deterministic models via probabilistic graphical model

I have read a few tutorials how we can think of deterministic neural networks with the help of probabilistic graphical models. Very often they would offer an image as seen bellow and say, our model is ...
Stenga's user avatar
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How to name a machine learning algorithm where we used very small amount of labeled data?

I have to describe a machine-learning algorithm that needs only very small dataset. I cannot say it is unsupervised because I already used the labels in the training. Also, I cannot say semi-...
ProEns08's user avatar
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108 views

Joint probability distribution of correlated data points

I have a query with respect to joint distributions. Here, each output data point in $\mathbf{y}$ is conditionally independent given the inputs $\mathbf{x}$ and the mapping $f:\mathbf{x}\rightarrow \...
Jack2018's user avatar