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Questions tagged [predictive-models]

Predictive models are statistical models whose primary purpose is to predict other observations of a system optimally, as opposed to models whose purpose is to test a particular hypothesis or explain a phenomenon mechanistically. As such, predictive models place less emphasis on interpretability and more emphasis on performance.

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How to compute confidence and uncertainity of model without ground truth from softmax output?

Suppose I have 3 classes A,B,C. Performing: y_pred = model.predict(X) # suppose X only two sampel Returning vector with length ...
Muhammad Ikhwan Perwira's user avatar
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15 views

Comparing probabilities of two models

Consider a dataset and two binary classes CLASS_A and CLASS_B, with different proportions of 0 and 1. Suppose we train a model such as XGBClassifier for both ...
Ale's user avatar
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1 vote
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Risk score developement from admin health data: when the test for the risk factor and outcomes are confounded by indication

I have health records of immunodepressed patients who may have event histories like [high risk demographics] -> [low lymfocyte count] -> [high viral load] -> [clinical events] From those data ...
Helene Hoegsbro Thygesen's user avatar
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Prediction with categorical data in semopy [migrated]

I'm using semopy for the first time (I am more familiar with lavaan in R). I was able to apply the ...
ambiguditi's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
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XGboost classification order of features influencing predictions [closed]

I am creating a UFC fight prediction model using xgboost classification, trained on a dataset that includes the stats of 2 fighters and the result of the fight. After training a model, I defined a ...
Alex Zhai's user avatar
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Select best predictor from multiple ROC Curves in R

Packages library(ggplot2) library(dplyr) library(caret) library(plotROC) library(pROC) library(ROCR) 3 regression models ...
Pipas's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
62 views

Taking the sum of predicted probabilities from logit model?

I am using a logit model to predict the probability that students pass a particular course. I run the logit, generate predicted probabilities for the students in my sample, and want to compare the ...
BPM Questioner's user avatar
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Rubin's rules Predicted values from mice imputed datasets and rms library

I am starting an analysis midway so my starting point is multiple imputed datasets created using the mice. ...
Clifton Pinto's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
29 views

Optimal threshold for a predictive covariate on treatment effect

here a physician with a moderate understanding of statistics and am seeking guidance on analyzing a continuous covariate (biomarker) that I suspect is predictive of treatment effect. My analysis ...
Alex Ortega's user avatar
8 votes
4 answers
554 views

Signal-to-noise ratio in predictive modeling and machine learning

The interesting comments to this question get into how signal-to-noise ratio plays into ability to make predictions. Being more explicit about it, how does signal-to-noise ratio factor into how good ...
Dave's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
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predict() function fails for lmer in R when NAs present in dataset

The issue is not how to format/obtain data but how to run predictions for linear mixed effect model for given set os estimated fixed effects in case of NAs present in the data. The predict() function ...
mjs's user avatar
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Substitution modeling under simulated inventory constraints

In the context of retail, substitution is typically defined as "when customers that prefer product A, but when unavailable, purchase product B, instead." Naively, the most of useful ...
jbuddy_13's user avatar
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Simulating bias comparing linear regression with Cox Proportional Hazard model for prediction on censored data

I wanted to show how censoring biases linear regression and how that could be resolved with survival regression using simulated data. My simulation now suggests, that survival regression (I tried a ...
TiTo's user avatar
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