# Questions tagged [prior]

In Bayesian statistics a prior distribution formalizes information or knowledge (often subjective), available before a sample is seen, in the form of a probability distribution. A distribution with large spread is used when little is known about the parameter(s), while a more narrow prior distribution represents a greater degree of information.

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### Implementing Predictive Posterior Distribution Using Stan

Background I had an example that sought to demonstrate the posterior predictive distribution in the context of a normal measurement model. The data that was used is as follows: ...
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### Horseshoe priors and random slope/intercept regressions

I'm interested in using the horseshoe prior (or the related hierarchical-shrinkage family of priors) for regression coefficients of a traditional multilevel regression (e.g., random slopes/intercepts)....
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### Hyper-prior for negative binomial in hierarchical model using JAGS/BUGS

Below I'm using a negative binomial because it is more flexible than a simple poisson model. The data are counts $y$ of events for 16 individuals $x$. There are 14 counts (i.e. counting periods) for ...
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### Including feature-dependent priors on output class, in bayesian logistic regression

When doing logistic regression with data $D_N = \{(x_i, y_i)\}_i^N$ with $x_i \in \mathbf{X}^N$ (each data point has N features) and $y_i \in \mathbf{Y}$ being assigned output classes, in a Bayesian ...
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### Deriving priors for MCMC implementation

I have been working on an assignment lately wherein the object is to implement an MCMC approach to simulate from a generated posterior distribution. The posterior distribution is generated from a ...
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### Decision Theory: Why is it called a “least favorable prior”?

I'm currently reading the chapter on Statistical Decision Theory in Larry Wasserman's "All of Statistics". Reading the section 13.4 about Minimax Rules he introduces the so called Least ...
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### Why are $\mathbb{E}( \ln(x))$ and $\mathbb{E} ( \ln(1 - x))$ reasonable descriptions of knowledge about a beta distribution?

The max entropy philosophy states that given some constraints on the prior, we should choose the prior that is maximum entropy subject to those constraints. I know that the Beta($\alpha, \beta$) is ...
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### Reproducing a didactic example of Lindley (1993)

Lindley (1993) discusses the following mixed discrete and continuous prior for the tea tasting lady experiment, where $\pi$ is probability of a correct classification: $p(\pi=0.5) = 0.8$ (discrete ...
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### Bayes-Poincaré solution to k-sample tests for comparison and the Behrens-Fisher problem?

I’d like to share and submit for (dis)approval and discussion yet another, simple but original (to the best of my knowledge) Bayesian solution to the classical problem of comparing k samples or groups,...
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### Can someone provide a non-technical explanation of how Cholesky Covariance priors work?

I am looking for an explanation of how Cholesky Covariance priors work in the context of mixed effects regression. In particular, when they are applied to the correlations among random effects. What ...
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### Using Bayesian Lasso with an informed prior

I'm looking for advice on how best to go about setting an informative prior for the Bayesian Lasso and BART (I'm applying these in R using the rjags and bartMachine packages) I have 3 proteomics ...
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### Intuition regarding Bayesian pseudo-priors

One approach to model comparison in a Bayesian framework uses a Bernoulli indicator variable to indicate which of two models is likely to be the "true model". When applying MCMC-based tools for ...
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### Combining non-independent priors

I've been working on a stats package that includes Bayesian survival models. The user is allowed to write priors directly for all the parameters involved. However, I think it's pretty difficult for ...
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### Using Bayesian formula to apply uncertainty to topic probability given length of document

After computing topics ($z$) over a word network, I'm assigning topic probability to documents, following: $$p(z|d) = \sum_{w_i}p(z|w_i)p(w_i|d)$$ with $d$ being a document composed by $w_{i...n}$ ...
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### How to prove that the prior for which Bayes rule is also the minimax rule, is the least favorable prior?

I have read in the book Mathematical Statistics: A Decision Theoretic Approach by Thomas Ferguson that The prior for which the Bayes rule is also minimax rule, then that prior is Least favorable prior....
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### What's the role of the scale matrix for the Inverse-Wishart and Wishart distributions?

What's the role of the scale matrix for the Inverse-Wishart and Wishart distributions? The purpose of finding this information is to enlighten me on how should one decide on a prior for a positive-...