Questions tagged [probabilistic-forecasts]

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Random forecast generation for input into deterministic model

I will try not to ask to open ended of a question, but I am looking for material on how to generate more forecasts from a single forecast to input into a deterministic model. I am looking at some of ...
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What method would I use when data has an upper and lower boundary in GluonTS

I have a time series dataset that has a max ceiling of 50 and a lower threshold of 0, however when using probabilistic time series modeling like GluonTS I am getting future predictions that are either ...
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Distribution that acts like Poisson/NegBin for small means and like a Normal distribution for large means?

I want to generate a full density probabilistic forecasting model, where I don't know a priori whether the time series I want to model are intermittent or dense. In both cases, the time series is a ...