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Questions tagged [statistics-in-media]

Questions related to statistics in the media (TV, radio, newspapers, blogs, etc.)

3
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1answer
16 views

Coding a variable in regression that decays and goes negative and then to zero

In marketing analytics, there is a concept of adstock link that captures through a variable transformation, the decaying impact of an advertising stimulus on demand. Finding the optimal adstock rate ...
14
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2answers
3k views

Why are The Simpsons (TV series) so apparently successful in “predicting” the future? [closed]

It has been widely commented in the yellow and not so yellow press that The Simpsons (the TV series) have repeatedly predicted the future. Comprehensive online articles about it are here and here. If ...
0
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0answers
23 views

How does Rassumsen always get Pro-GOP Results?

(HONEST question, I am not being snarky) Not why, that is obvious…but how?? Even FOX polls skew more non-right wing! Their methodolgy seems otherwise quite fit, and it is a national poll (i.e. not ...
3
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0answers
91 views

The Mediterranean diet - statistics issues with the updated paper

In 2013, a group of researchers published a paper with results on a randomized trial of the Mediterranean diet, finding that it appears to have significant health benefits. Today, they retracted ...
0
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1answer
67 views

Royal Statistical Scociety Statistic of the Year - comparing lawn mower deaths with terror acts

I was reading an article on the RSS website where they discussed some top statistics of 2017. One of them was an apparently viral tweet from Kim Kardashian that compares deaths from lawn mower ...
1
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0answers
33 views

Regression / Probability should give one number!

This may be a strange question. I work as a data scientist for a Media company. My job revolves around predicting the expected "Reach" and number of views an ad will have based on mining historical ...
8
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3answers
398 views

Does this NYT article incorrectly assume independent increments?

The article plots for every 100 women that use a certain type of contraception method the number of unplanned pregnancies over time. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/09/14/sunday-review/...
4
votes
1answer
106 views

Statistical language in “The Avengers”

In the Marvel Movie "The Avengers," there's a scene in which Bruce Banner, looking for a piece of alien technology called the "tesseract," says that he is going to "rough out a tracking algorithm, ...
8
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4answers
376 views

How should this BBC chart (Brexit correlation between education and results) have been drawn?

The BBC has analyzed more Brexit referendum data; the first chart in their article caught my eye: It seemed strange to split the x-axis at 50%. Surely this should have been split at the median of the ...
0
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0answers
27 views

Frequency and Probability calculation for magazine readership

Given the frequency of certain readership patterns, for example: if a person has read: the previous issue of a magazine (P1), read the 2nd last issue of a magazine (P2) and 3rd last issue of a ...
2
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0answers
133 views

How to calculate advertising copy wearout using kalman filter?

I have to calculate half life of an advertisement using Kalman filter in R. The paper 'Estimating the Half-life of Advertisements' (Naik, 1999[1]) provides the base but am unable to understand how ...
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0answers
196 views

Examples for teaching: Sometimes we CAN infer causality.

There have been threads here before which posted links of the media attributing causality to correlational studies, and links to those studies have been posted. It seems as if we are always focusing ...
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3answers
4k views

Why law of large numbers does not apply in the case of Apple share price?

Here is the article in NY times called "Apple confronts the law of large numbers". It tries to explain Apple share price rise using law of large numbers. What statistical (or mathematical) errors does ...
129
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5answers
179k views

How exactly does one “control for other variables”?

Here is the article that motivated this question: Does impatience make us fat? I liked this article, and it nicely demonstrates the concept of “controlling for other variables” (IQ, career, income, ...
6
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4answers
3k views

How to interpret the margin of error in a poll?

Recently the media reported on a political poll that stated that "46% of Republican voters in Mississippi think that interracial marriage should be illegal". One example story (of many around the '...
24
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3answers
540 views

Equations in the news: Translating a multi-level model to a general audience

The New York Times has a long comment on the 'value-added' teacher evaluation system being used to give feedback to New York City educators. The lede is the equation used to calculate the scores - ...
20
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1answer
3k views

Article about misuse of statistical method in NYTimes

I am referring to this article: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/11/science/11esp.html Consider the following experiment. Suppose there was reason to believe that a coin was slightly weighted toward ...