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Questions tagged [statistics-in-media]

Questions related to statistics in the media (TV, radio, newspapers, blogs, etc.)

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Modeling a Time-Series Variable as a Function of Another

I'm pursuing an academic research project aiming to look at the effects of news coverage on a company's stock price. In order to do so, I hope to index coverage of an event into a single time-series ...
Jason's user avatar
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3 votes
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A new strain of covid-19 is 70% more infectious/transmissible. What does that mean and how has it been estimated/measured? [closed]

70% in the media Prime Minister Boris Johnson told a Downing Street briefing that early analysis showed the new strain could increase the reproductive ...
Sextus Empiricus's user avatar
6 votes
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Was Amazon's AI tool, more than human recruiters, biased against women?

A typical example how bias in data is being copied by AI is Amazon's recruiting tool that got abandoned in 2018. In the various reports it is implicitly (or sometimes explicitly) stated that the AI ...
Sextus Empiricus's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer

Coding a variable in regression that decays and goes negative and then to zero

In marketing analytics, there is a concept of adstock link that captures through a variable transformation, the decaying impact of an advertising stimulus on demand. Finding the optimal adstock rate ...
B_Miner's user avatar
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14 votes
2 answers

Why are The Simpsons (TV series) so apparently successful in "predicting" the future? [closed]

It has been widely commented in the yellow and not so yellow press that The Simpsons (the TV series) have repeatedly predicted the future. Comprehensive online articles about it are here and here. If ...
luchonacho's user avatar
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7 votes
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The Mediterranean diet - statistics issues with the updated paper

In 2013, a group of researchers published a paper with results on a randomized trial of the Mediterranean diet, finding that it appears to have significant health benefits. Today, they retracted ...
D.W.'s user avatar
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0 votes
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Royal Statistical Scociety Statistic of the Year - comparing lawn mower deaths with terror acts

I was reading an article on the RSS website where they discussed some top statistics of 2017. One of them was an apparently viral tweet from Kim Kardashian that compares deaths from lawn mower ...
jmich738's user avatar
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Regression / Probability should give one number!

This may be a strange question. I work as a data scientist for a Media company. My job revolves around predicting the expected "Reach" and number of views an ad will have based on mining historical ...
Thomas Moore's user avatar
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8 votes
3 answers

Does this NYT article incorrectly assume independent increments?

The article plots for every 100 women that use a certain type of contraception method the number of unplanned pregnancies over time.
user103341's user avatar
6 votes
3 answers

Statistical language in "The Avengers"

In the Marvel Movie "The Avengers," there's a scene in which Bruce Banner, looking for a piece of alien technology called the "tesseract," says that he is going to "rough out ...
user avatar
8 votes
4 answers

How should this BBC chart (Brexit correlation between education and results) have been drawn?

The BBC has analyzed more Brexit referendum data; the first chart in their article caught my eye: It seemed strange to split the x-axis at 50%. Surely this should have been split at the median of the ...
Darren Cook's user avatar
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2 votes
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How to calculate advertising copy wearout using kalman filter?

I have to calculate half life of an advertisement using Kalman filter in R. The paper 'Estimating the Half-life of Advertisements' (Naik, 1999[1]) provides the base but am unable to understand how ...
Bala's user avatar
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Examples for teaching: Sometimes we CAN infer causality.

There have been threads here before which posted links of the media attributing causality to correlational studies, and links to those studies have been posted. It seems as if we are always focusing ...
43 votes
3 answers

Why law of large numbers does not apply in the case of Apple share price?

Here is the article in NY times called "Apple confronts the law of large numbers". It tries to explain Apple share price rise using law of large numbers. What statistical (or mathematical) errors does ...
mpiktas's user avatar
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206 votes
5 answers

How exactly does one “control for other variables”?

Here is the article that motivated this question: Does impatience make us fat? I liked this article, and it nicely demonstrates the concept of “controlling for other variables” (IQ, career, income, ...
JackOfAll's user avatar
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6 votes
4 answers

How to interpret the margin of error in a poll?

Recently the media reported on a political poll that stated that "46% of Republican voters in Mississippi think that interracial marriage should be illegal". One example story (of many around the '...
Peter M's user avatar
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25 votes
3 answers

Equations in the news: Translating a multi-level model to a general audience

The New York Times has a long comment on the 'value-added' teacher evaluation system being used to give feedback to New York City educators. The lede is the equation used to calculate the scores - ...
Andrew's user avatar
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20 votes
1 answer

Article about misuse of statistical method in NYTimes

I am referring to this article: Consider the following experiment. Suppose there was reason to believe that a coin was slightly weighted toward ...
vonjd's user avatar
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