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Confidence and prediciton intervals for power law fit

I would like to determine confidence intervals and prediction intervals for a noisy dataset that follows a power law distribution. I have a dataset that (to my eye) follows power law behavior in the ...
Robert Zinke's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
215 views

Bootstrapping (aleatoric and epistemic) risk score uncertainty

I am working on various risk score estimation problems. I assume individual subjects are associated with a true risk $$r_i = f(x_i; \epsilon_i), \quad 0 \leq r_i \leq 1,$$ where $x_i$ is some ...
Eike P.'s user avatar
  • 3,088
5 votes
1 answer
355 views

Risk score uncertainty quantification

I am working on various risk score estimation problems. I assume individual subjects are associated with a true risk $$ r_i = f(x_i, \varepsilon)$$ where $x_i$ is some available information about the ...
Eike P.'s user avatar
  • 3,088
6 votes
1 answer
1k views

Bootstrap intervals for predictions, how to interpret it?

I want to come up with a way to get how confident I am in my predictions. I am not using a Bayesian model so I was thinking a bootstrap confidence interval would be good: I would re-sample my ...
Tom's user avatar
  • 1,373
13 votes
2 answers
11k views

Predicting Uncertainty in Random Forest Regression [duplicate]

Scenario: I'm trying to build a random forest regressor to accelerate probing a large phase space. I'm using python/scikit-learn to perform the regression, and I'm able to obtain a model that has a ...
Andrew's user avatar
  • 131