I don't think this question has a clear statistical answer. It will come down to your particular requirements. Think about the question each calculation answers. The first calculation, the variance of all task lengths, answers the question: > How much variation do we observe _among all task lengths_? The second calculation answers a different question: > How much variation do we observe _among the longest-running tasks_? The former gives a sense of overall spread. The latter gives a sense of spread in the upper tail. That is, it's a rough way of looking at the length of that tail. I say "rough" because it's delineated by an arbitrary cutoff — in this case the 90th percentile — and because there are probably more precise and targeted ways to measure tail length. You can see how this works with some simulated data (in R): N <- 10000 x <- rnorm(N) y <- rt(N, 5) boxplot(x, y, xaxt = "n") abline(h = quantile(x, 0.9), col = "red") abline(h = quantile(y, 0.9), col = "blue") legend("bottom", paste("90th percentile: ", c("x", "y")), col = c("red", "blue"), lwd = 1) var_90_pct <- function (x) var(x[x > quantile(x, 0.9)]) axis(1, 1:2, c("X: N(0,1)", "Y: T(5)")) axis(1, 1:2, sprintf("90 pctile var = %.2f", c(var_90_pct(x), var_90_pct(y))), line = 2, tick = FALSE) title(main = "Simulated Gaussian and Student t distributions\nwith 90th percentiles highlighted") ![Gaussian and Student t distributions][1] The Student t distribution (with few degrees of freedom) is distinguished from the standard Gaussian by its long tail. It is easy see on the graph that the Student t has much greater variance among the top 10% of observations, despite the 90th percentiles themselves being very close together. This is why I don't think the question has a clear answer. Which one do you actually care about? Maybe if you are comfortable with the running time of your 90th percentile tasks but are concerned about a few extreme cases, the "tail-only variance" might be good to study. Variance is pretty cheap to compute; honestly you should probably just do both. And consider [graphing the data][2] while you're at it. Edit: I should mention that overall variance will also reveal long-tailed-ness. But it is more likely to be affected by other features of the distribution like multimodality, whereas the 90th percentile variance is probably going to be more focused. [1]: https://i.sstatic.net/2Ix49.png [2]: http://www.jstatsoft.org/v28/c01/paper