> Question: Suppose $X_1, \cdots, X_n$ are $iid$ normal random variables with unknown mean $\mu$ and known variance $\sigma^2$. Find the UMVUE for $\Phi(\mu)$, where $\Phi(\cdot)$ is the cdf of a standard normal random variable. I used to guess the desired UMVUE is or similar to $\Phi(\bar X)$ since it is a function of complete and sufficient statistic. However, it is not really unbiased (see [here][1]). **Could anyone shed light on how to find the UMVUE, please? Thank you!** [1]: https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/820211/how-to-find-the-following-integration