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Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference that relies on treating the model parameters as random variables and applying Bayes' theorem to deduce subjective probability statements about the parameters or hypotheses, conditional on the observed dataset.
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compute Expectation Propagation messages for sum
The updates on that page come from belief propagation (a special case of EP). The general formula for belief propagation messages is:
$$
m_{a \rightarrow i}(x_i) \propto \int_{\mathbf{x} \backslash x …
1
vote
Can quadratic constraints be handled by Bayesian methods?
The paper The Kernel Gibbs Sampler by Graepel and Herbrich (2001) describes how to do Gibbs sampling over a sphere. They had a special likelihood function that gave piecewise constant conditionals, b …
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What is the commonly used conjugate distribution for this type of problem
There is no commonly used conjugate distribution for $\beta$ in this problem.
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variational bayes vs expectation propagation
It depends a lot on the details of the problem being solved. You can find a tabular comparison between them here, which links to more information. You are right about VB generally requiring more ite …
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When sampling distribution and posterior distribution under uniform prior belong to the same...
Here are two examples.
$x$ is normally distributed around mean $\theta$. The likelihood for $\theta$ is a normal distribution with mean $x$.
$x$ is Gamma distributed with rate $\theta$. The likeli …
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logistic regression with slack
Logistic regression already has some slack but if you want even more slack you can use a softer link function. For example, replace the logistic function $\sigma(x)$ with $\sigma(\lambda \tanh(x/\lam …
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Prior predictive with discrete prior
The integral becomes a sum over the possible values of $\theta$.
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How do I define the number of parameters needed to specify this Bayesian network?
I think the question is asking "how many parameters would be required to choose among any probability distribution compatible with this Bayesian network?". …
10
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Problem interpreting the Beta distribution
Since the domain is bounded by 0 and 1, in order for the mean to be 0.25 and the variance to be large, most of the mass has to be pushed up against the boundaries. There's simply no other way for the …
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Marginal Likelihoods for Bayes Factors with Multiple Discrete Hypothesis
You are almost right. Use the sum of the two integrals rather than the product.
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What is the mathematical difference between using a un-informative prior and a frequentist a...
If you want the derivation of this result, read Bayesian inference, entropy, and the multinomial distribution.
I have written several papers on exactly this topic. … If you want more examples, check out: Pathologies of Orthodox Statistics, Inferring a Gaussian distribution and Bayesian inference of a uniform distribution. …
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Why is clutter problem intractable for large sample sizes?
You are right that the paper is saying the wrong thing. You certainly can evaluate the posterior distribution of $x$ at a known location using $O(n)$ operations. The problem is when you want to comp …
1
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Approximating distributions in expectation propagation
Yes, you can use different exponential families to approximate the marginal for different variables. You only need all messages into a variable to have the same type, so that they can be multiplied to …
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What Bayesian model should I use for posterior room identification?
I would use a first-order hidden Markov model. The transition distribution of the model corresponds to the room topology, as well as the probability of lingering in the same room. I would learn that …
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Inferring prior distribution
The algorithm that you describe is treating $D$ like a variable in the problem, but using a method other than Bayesian inference to deal with $D$. … A Bayesian solution requires handling $D$ in a Bayesian manner, i.e. giving it a prior and integrating it out to get the marginal for $p_i$. …