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The relationship between cause and effect.

2 votes

How can you express the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in Pearl's do notation?

You cannot express it in "do" notation! The conditioning event $X = 1$ would conflict with $do(X = 0)$. Indeed, the ATT is an example of a counterfactual/"rung 3" causal query that is strictly "deeper …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
2 votes

What are key papers discussing causal inference from a missing data perspective?

Judea Pearl makes this point very forcefully (e.g., in "Causality", 2009, Cambridge University Press). To me, multiple imputation of the potential outcome distribution does not make sense. …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
2 votes

For the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) in causal inference, defined as $E(Y(1) - Y(0))$, wha...

This is a great question, because the important book by Judea Pearl ("Causality", 2nd ed.) actually calls $P(Y|do(X = x)) = P(Y(x))$ the "causal effect" of $X$ on $Y$ (Definition 3.2.1), so that $E[ …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Causal Inference - Revenue Per User

First of all, there is no need for you to control for average hours played. If you run a simple regression just with the treatment indicator, this will give you an estimate of what the effect of your …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

Directed Acyclic Graphs and the no unrepresented prior common causes assumption

Two answers: 1) Included common causes often summarize the effects of more distant causes. In fact, this is behind the whole idea of instrumental variables: Some variables are causally far away from …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
38 votes
Accepted

A layman understanding of the difference between back-door and front-door adjustment

Let's say you are interested in the causal effect of $D$ on $Y$. The following statement are not quite precise but I think convey the intuition behind the two approaches: Back-door adjustment: Determ …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

In observational studies, how can unconfoundedness, $(Y(1), Y(0)) \perp T \mid X$, hold if $...

Potential outcomes are features of units $U$, so it helps in our case to index them: $$Y_u(1), Y_u(0)$$ The usual statement is that potential outcomes are fixed for a specific unit $u$, but may of c …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Covariance in system with lagged reverse causality

If you assume zero covariance between $\epsilon^1_t$ and $\epsilon^2_t$ as well as between $y_{t-1}$ and $\epsilon^2_t$, then $\beta$ is identified by a regression of $y_t$ on $x_t$ and $y_{t-1}$. Thi …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Adjustment formula for counterfactuals: can we get rid of $X=x$?

As noted in the comments, this were valid if $Y_x \perp X|Z$ would imply $Y \perp X|Z$. But it does not. The simplest counterexample is when $X$ affects $Y$. Then $Z$ blocks all back-door paths, but t …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

DAG: when should we use variables marked as "adjusted"?

In dagitty, when you indicate that a variable $A$ is "adjusted", you indicate that you will definitely adjust/control for it in the analysis. Dagitty will then tell you whether and how you can still e …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
0 votes

reverse causality and endogeneity problems

Lastly, you mention reverse causality. In your context, this would mean future performance influencing past gender of the CEO. This is physically impossible, and so not an issue. …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
0 votes
Accepted

Identification assumptions and causal relationships

"Making adequate identification assumptions is sufficient for identifying causal relationships" is either tautologically true or obviously wrong. It is true if by "adequate identification assumptions" …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
3 votes

Is Fisher Sharp Null Hypothesis testable?

Your $H_{0}$ implies $E[Y_{i}(1) - Y_{i}(0)] = 0$, which is testable whenever we have identified this ATE, by whatever means. By elementary logic, rejecting an implication of a statement rejects this …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

How are standard exogeneity assumptions and indepent of potential outcomes concepts linked?

This "structural definition of counterfactuals" was proposed by Judea Pearl, see for example his book "Causality", or his book with Jewell and Glymour, "Causality: A Primer". …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar
5 votes

Is there a difference between a causal relationship and a DIRECT causal relationship?

The clearest approach to causality is the one using structural equations, potential outcomes, and causal graphs [1]. … Causality. Cambridge University Press. …
Julian Schuessler's user avatar

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