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9 votes

Estimating probability of attack in Ukraine, given count data

This is not an answer, but rather a side comment: Keep in mind that the new attacks are not independent of the previous ones. Historical data is not necessarily relevant for the future. It is probably ...
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6 votes

Estimating probability of attack in Ukraine, given count data

Does anyone know what kind of model I would use for something like this? ... I was just wondering if anyone know some common approaches. Two approaches you may want to look into: "Self exciting ...
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2 votes
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What is the difference between a non-zero nugget and a noise term in Kriging/GPR?

Random noise and nugget effect are indeed quite similar to some extent. The difference between the two appears when there are repeated observations (i.e., several observations at the same location), ...
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1 vote

Generate a syntetic log-normal two dimensional random field

An easy option is to assume that there is a smooth varying trend that can be model as a two-dimensional Gaussian Process (GP) $\mathcal{GP}(s,t)$ along two continua $s$ and $t$ and sample directly ...
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