# Tag Info

## Hot answers tagged kriging

### Estimating probability of attack in Ukraine, given count data

This is not an answer, but rather a side comment: Keep in mind that the new attacks are not independent of the previous ones. Historical data is not necessarily relevant for the future. It is probably ...
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### Estimating probability of attack in Ukraine, given count data

Does anyone know what kind of model I would use for something like this? ... I was just wondering if anyone know some common approaches. Two approaches you may want to look into: "Self exciting ...
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An easy option is to assume that there is a smooth varying trend that can be model as a two-dimensional Gaussian Process (GP) $\mathcal{GP}(s,t)$ along two continua $s$ and $t$ and sample directly ...