Timeline for Are the following two statements equivalent?
Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0
5 events
| when toggle format | what | by | license | comment | |
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| Jan 15, 2015 at 12:28 | answer | added | Alecos Papadopoulos | timeline score: 4 | |
| Jan 15, 2015 at 11:44 | comment | added | Richard Hardy | Yeah, I don't know these things too well, too. But another note: I don't think I am 80% sure that Obama wins the next elections. is equivalent to $P(P(A)=1)=0.8$. To me both statement 1 and statement 2 look more like $P(A)=0.8$. | |
| Jan 15, 2015 at 11:39 | comment | added | bonifaz | Well but we don't know the true value. Furthermore, I'm not even sure whether this is the correct way of interpreting the two statements, hence my question. | |
| Jan 15, 2015 at 11:28 | comment | added | Richard Hardy |
If in reality $P(A)=0.8$ then $P(A)=1$ is plainly false. I don't think you could say that P(false)=0.8 because false is not a random event or the like.
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| Jan 15, 2015 at 9:48 | history | asked | bonifaz | CC BY-SA 3.0 |