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Sep 24, 2012 at 20:16 comment added Douglas Zare @Emil Friedman: Expectation is linear whether the summands are independent or not. The lack of independence affects quantities like the variance, but not the expectation.
Sep 11, 2012 at 19:28 comment added Emil Friedman It may be a little more complicated than that. The probability that card(i) is missed is as you wrote. However, once we know that card(i) was missed, the probability of missing card(j) changes. I don't know whether the independence issue will change the final result but complicates the derivation.
Dec 2, 2011 at 15:23 vote accept Craig Wright
Nov 30, 2011 at 20:23 comment added Dilip Sarwate (+1) Also notice that for $n$ large, $p \approx e^{-2}$.
Nov 30, 2011 at 20:13 history answered Craig Wright CC BY-SA 3.0