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Sep 23, 2016 at 12:35 comment added ytti I wrote simulation - p.ip.fi/HWVk - unsure if it is fair. I made failure count reset every year, and choose failure from normal distribution, and choose failure length at start of failure from normal distribution. With the parameters in the code now, I'm seeing sub-hour outages maybe every 250 years or so (the parameters are more aggressive than in my question) => p.ip.fi/n94f
Sep 22, 2016 at 16:07 answer added user1566 timeline score: 1
Sep 22, 2016 at 10:02 comment added ytti Problem is, I know I don't understand the problem. And now I have 3 distinct solutions, yours is same as mine, which in my case lends less credibility as I don't really trust myself.
Sep 20, 2016 at 16:55 comment added user1566 Very roughly speaking, the chance a network is down at a given hour is 6/8760 or 1/1460, so the chance both are down is roughly that squared or 1/2131600, or 1 in 2,131,600 hours, which is about once every 243 years. I would be suspicious of answers that are too far away from this estimate.
Sep 20, 2016 at 13:22 answer added Snoop Catt timeline score: 1
Sep 20, 2016 at 12:06 answer added jwimberley timeline score: 1
Sep 20, 2016 at 11:25 history edited ytti CC BY-SA 3.0
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Sep 20, 2016 at 11:09 review First posts
Sep 20, 2016 at 11:51
Sep 20, 2016 at 11:07 history asked ytti CC BY-SA 3.0