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Oct 1, 2016 at 20:39 comment added caring-goat-913 Thanks, thinking about it in terms of the first call makes it simpler. That effectively adjusts my p for Geo(p). Using total probability it becomes P(True) = 4/28 + (2/28)*(1/2) = 5/28, which gives E[Geo(5/28)] = 5.6, which is what my program gave me.
Oct 1, 2016 at 20:33 vote accept caring-goat-913
Oct 1, 2016 at 20:19 comment added Mark L. Stone Calculate the probability that true is returned on the first call. Use the law of total probability en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_total_probability to do that, i.e,, condition on something.
Oct 1, 2016 at 20:15 answer added Tim timeline score: 3
Oct 1, 2016 at 19:59 history asked caring-goat-913 CC BY-SA 3.0