More context would always be better. However, thereThere is no reasonperfect algorithm. I believe Loess couldn't outperform a RandomForest and an SVM, at least as implemented in R
, is limited to ~4 features. Are we talking about just a single feature? If Given so few features, Random Forests would degrade into a bunchthe overhead of jaggy trees. And I would assume a properly tunedRandomForests or SVM-regression would actually look quite similar to a Loessis likely wasted. It might be that the intrinsic scaling of the data is important and the RandomForest loses that in it's trees. For the SVM it could easily be the difficulty in properly tuning it or choosing the right kernel. If we're talking about multiple featuresthe relationship is simple enough, how exactly did you usedon't need to expand in the faux-infinite dimensions of kernel space to understand it.
Having said that, just because Loess? is better in this particular training set via cross-validation, that doesn't mean it will always be better. All models are just approximations.