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"almost certainly" is not correct according to the definitions in mathematics and to the provided formulae.
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There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen

You asked for a picture. This might help:

picture

There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen

You asked for a picture. This might help:

picture

There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other did not happen

You asked for a picture. This might help:

picture

picture
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Henry
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There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen

You asked for a picture. This might help:

picture

There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen

There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen

You asked for a picture. This might help:

picture

Source Link
Henry
  • 42.2k
  • 1
  • 81
  • 145

There is a difference between

  • independent events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) =\mathbb P(A)\,\mathbb P(B)$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= \mathbb P(A)$ so knowing one happened gives no information about whether the other happened
  • mutually disjoint events: $\mathbb P(A \cap B) = 0$, i.e. $\mathbb P(A \mid B)= 0$ so knowing one happened means the other almost certainly did not happen