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I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How doesis summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particularparticular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from?

Are these $\epsilon's$ some residuals from some other models? If so, how does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

Are these $\epsilon's$ just theoretical white noises? If so, why are they sequential?

I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How does summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from?

Are these $\epsilon's$ some residuals from some other models? If so, how does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

Are these $\epsilon's$ just theoretical white noises? If so, why are they sequential?

I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How is summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from?

Are these $\epsilon's$ some residuals from some other models? If so, how does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

Are these $\epsilon's$ just theoretical white noises? If so, why are they sequential?

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CPT
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  • 8

I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How does summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from? How

Are these $\epsilon's$ some residuals from some other models? If so, how does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

Are these $\epsilon's$ just theoretical white noises? If so, why are they sequential?

I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How does summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from? How does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

I'm having trouble understanding the intuition of the moving average model. How does summing up a bunch of white noises related to predicting your particular time series data?

Suppose I have a MA(q) model $y_t = \mu + \epsilon_t + \theta_1 \epsilon_{t-1} + ... + \theta_q \epsilon_{t-q}$, where do these $\epsilon's$ come from?

Are these $\epsilon's$ some residuals from some other models? If so, how does one estimate these $\epsilon's$?

Are these $\epsilon's$ just theoretical white noises? If so, why are they sequential?

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Richard Hardy
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