Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model expressed(a.k.a. ARMAX) expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
in general ...... where the time lag effects are IDENTIFIED rather than assumed and anomalous data is rendered harmless and trends and level shifts are clarified.
Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
in general ......
Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model (a.k.a. ARMAX) expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
in general ...... where the time lag effects are IDENTIFIED rather than assumed and anomalous data is rendered harmless and trends and level shifts are clarified.
Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
in general ......
Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
Your ARIMA model is (probably !) an overfit and (probably ) is the cause of your confusion. What you are looking for might be a transfer function model expressed as a right-hand side model. https://stats.stackexchange.com/search?q=user%3A3382+transfer+function+model+as+a+right-hand+side
in general ......
