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Jun 6, 2019 at 22:20 comment added IrishStat What you need to do is to employ not only Intervention Detection but variance change detection as TSAY laid out in docplayer.net/… & semanticscholar.org/paper/…
Jun 6, 2019 at 22:15 comment added IrishStat suggestive of either non-constant parameters over time or non-constant error variance over time .
Jun 6, 2019 at 22:12 comment added DeeDee @IrishStat after I made the data stationary and removed the seasonality component from the time series data. This is the plot for the components of the new time series data. photos.app.goo.gl/96HMvSBGtLS6izEt6 Clearly, something is off with the seasonality I don't know the possible explanation. And I don't think there is a trend from the plot.
Jun 6, 2019 at 22:10 history edited IrishStat CC BY-SA 4.0
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Jun 6, 2019 at 21:49 comment added whuber The original image is still available (at least until imgurl removes it through non-use) by inspecting the edit history: link through the red text at "edited ... ago" beneath the question.
Jun 6, 2019 at 21:44 history edited IrishStat CC BY-SA 4.0
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Jun 6, 2019 at 21:30 history edited IrishStat CC BY-SA 4.0
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Jun 6, 2019 at 21:26 comment added DeeDee I'm sorry had accidentally attached the wrong image. Can you have a look at it again ?
Jun 6, 2019 at 21:10 comment added whuber The confidence limits suggest a series length around 5000, far exceeding 200!
Jun 6, 2019 at 20:58 history answered IrishStat CC BY-SA 4.0