Timeline for Solution to German Tank Problem
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
3 events
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| Aug 13, 2019 at 19:24 | comment | added | Sextus Empiricus | Also, the observation of more additional numbers can change the inference. In the case "if the next number we see is 5..." then the posterior will still change, even when numbers have already been 'helped out', additional numbers can increase this "helping out' (E.g. when you sample all numbers 1,2, ... 12, 13 then this will increase the posterior for 13 more than when you only sample 13) | |
| Aug 13, 2019 at 19:20 | comment | added | Sextus Empiricus | This example depends a lot on the situation and the statements are not general. For instance, if the prior is 50% for 13 and 50% for 15 then the observation of 13 is not such that "our posteriors for N = 13, 15 will be larger than their prior" Observations can decrease the posterior relative to the prior. | |
| Aug 13, 2019 at 16:38 | history | answered | Acccumulation | CC BY-SA 4.0 |